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Magenta vs Pirae

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2024 Stade Numa-Daly Magenta, Nouméa
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Bourebare H.
45'
Tihoni Y.
49'
Jewine J.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2024 game between Magenta and Pirae finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Magenta
20%
Draws
29%
Pirae
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Magenta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Magenta come out ahead of Pirae on wins alone.
  • Model gives Magenta a 51% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Magenta Clean Sheet 15%
Pirae Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magenta Pirae
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.39 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2024 OFC Champions League
Magenta vs Pirae
0:0
Jun 7, 2005 OFC Champions League
Magenta vs Pirae
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magenta 84 / 100
Pirae 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magenta Pirae

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magenta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirae's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Magenta scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Magenta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Magenta VS Pirae
1.71 Goals Scored 2.25
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Magenta

(Home)
15 Nov
Magenta
0 : 3
Mulhouse
23 May
Auckland City
1 : 0
Magenta
21 May
Ifira Blackbird
1 : 2
Magenta
19 May
Magenta
0 : 0
Pirae
16 May
Magenta
8 : 0
Vaivase-Tai
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Pirae

(Away)
15 Nov
Carnoux F.C.
5 : 1
Pirae
05 Apr
Pirae
1 : 1
Tiga Sport
02 Apr
Rewa
0 : 1
Pirae
30 Mar
Auckland City
1 : 0
Pirae
25 May
Auckland City
4 : 0
Pirae
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Rewa 3 2 1 0 8:6 7
3 PNG Hekari 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Solomon Warriors 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2024 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pirae 3 2 1 0 11:1 7
2 Magenta 3 2 1 0 10:1 7
3 Ifira Blackbird 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Vaivase-Tai 3 0 0 3 1:19 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2024 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)