Sport Picks

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Magenta vs Tefana

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2016 Stade Numa-Daly Magenta, Nouméa
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Wajoka J.
7'
Makalu L.
18' Event
Tevaerai T.

AI Match Summary

Magenta in this OFC Champions League 2016 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Magenta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Magenta
35%
Draws
19%
Tefana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Magenta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Magenta have won more games recently than Tefana.
  • Magenta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Magenta here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Magenta Clean Sheet 20%
Tefana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magenta Tefana
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.38 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2016 OFC Champions League
Magenta vs Tefana
4:2
Feb 26, 2011 OFC Champions League
Tefana vs Magenta
0:3
Nov 13, 2010 OFC Champions League
Magenta vs Tefana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magenta Compare

Top Goalscorer Bearune G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wajoka J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Tefana Compare

Top Goalscorer Tevaerai T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tiatia T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magenta 85 / 100
Tefana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magenta Tefana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magenta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tefana has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Magenta scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Magenta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magenta VS Tefana
3.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Magenta

(Home)
15 Nov
Magenta
0 : 3
Mulhouse
23 May
Auckland City
1 : 0
Magenta
21 May
Ifira Blackbird
1 : 2
Magenta
19 May
Magenta
0 : 0
Pirae
16 May
Magenta
8 : 0
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 6

Tefana

(Away)
16 Mar
Tefana
1 : 2
Pirae
13 Mar
Pirae
1 : 1
Tefana
16 Feb
Tefana
3 : 3
Malampa Revivors
13 Feb
Hienghene Sport
1 : 0
Tefana
10 Feb
Lae City
3 : 3
Tefana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Amicale 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Solomon Warriors 3 1 0 2 5:11 3
4 Lae City 3 0 0 3 5:10 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2016 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 PNG Hekari 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Suva 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Lossi 3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2016 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magenta 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Tefana 3 2 0 1 15:5 6
3 Nadi 3 1 0 2 5:12 3
4 Kiwi 3 0 0 3 3:13 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2016 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams