Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Magenta vs Tiare

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2020 Stade Numa-Daly Magenta, Nouméa
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Chabi O. In: Porlier M.
Out: Chabi O.
21' Event
Porlier M.
37'
Simane D.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2020 game between Magenta and Tiare finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Magenta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Magenta
25%
Draws
35%
Tiare
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Magenta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Magenta come out ahead of Tiare on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Magenta taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Magenta Clean Sheet 20%
Tiare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magenta Tiare
Matches Played 28 2
Wins 15 0
Draws 4 0
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 2.39 1
Goals Conceded 1.54 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2020 OFC Champions League
Magenta vs Tiare
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magenta Compare

Top Goalscorer Nemia K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Tiare Compare

Top Goalscorer Porlier M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magenta 85 / 100
Tiare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magenta Tiare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magenta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tiare conceded in 100% of 2 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Magenta's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Magenta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Magenta VS Tiare
3.13 Goals Scored 0.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 33%
75% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Magenta

(Home)
15 Nov
Magenta
0 : 3
Mulhouse
23 May
Auckland City
1 : 0
Magenta
21 May
Ifira Blackbird
1 : 2
Magenta
19 May
Magenta
0 : 0
Pirae
16 May
Magenta
8 : 0
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 6

Tiare

(Away)
04 Mar
Magenta
3 : 2
Tiare
01 Mar
Solomon Warriors
1 : 0
Tiare

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eastern Suburbs 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 ABM Galaxy 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
3 PNG Hekari 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Hienghene Sport 3 0 1 2 3:10 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malampa Revivors 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
2 Henderson Eels 3 1 2 0 8:7 5
3 Lae City 3 1 1 1 10:6 4
4 Lautoka 3 0 1 2 3:11 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magenta 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Solomon Warriors 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Tiare 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
4 Tupapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Venus 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
3 Lupe ole Soaga 3 1 0 2 4:11 3
4 Ba 3 0 0 3 5:14 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)