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Maghreb Fez vs ASEC Mimosas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League Complexe sportif de Fès, Fès
Maghreb Fez Logo

Maghreb Fez

1 - 1
FT
ASEC Mimosas Logo

ASEC Mimosas

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Chabani A.
90' Event
Bamba S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Maghreb Fez
35%
Draws
28%
ASEC Mimosas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maghreb Fez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASEC Mimosas come out ahead of Maghreb Fez on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • ASEC Mimosas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Maghreb Fez Clean Sheet 68%
ASEC Mimosas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maghreb Fez ASEC Mimosas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 10 9
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.21 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 CAF Champions League
Maghreb Fez vs ASEC Mimosas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maghreb Fez Compare

Top Goalscorer Chabani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

ASEC Mimosas Compare

Top Goalscorer Bamba S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maghreb Fez 41 / 100
ASEC Mimosas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maghreb Fez ASEC Mimosas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maghreb Fez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maghreb Fez's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Maghreb Fez went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

ASEC Mimosas has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maghreb Fez VS ASEC Mimosas
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maghreb Fez

(Home)
18 Oct
Maghreb Fez
1 : 1
ASEC Mimosas
14 Oct
IR Tanger
2 : 1
Maghreb Fez
08 Oct
Maghreb Fez
0 : 0
Raja Casablanca
03 Oct
Hassania Agadir
1 : 2
Maghreb Fez
27 Sept
Maghreb Fez
2 : 1
Renaissance Zemamra
Page 1 of 6

ASEC Mimosas

(Away)
18 Oct
Maghreb Fez
1 : 1
ASEC Mimosas
10 Oct
ASEC Mimosas
1 : 1
Academie de FAD
04 Oct
ASEC Mimosas
0 : 0
Stella Adjame
26 Sept
Yamoussoukro
1 : 0
ASEC Mimosas
13 Sept
ASEC Mimosas
2 : 1
ASC Kara
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 5
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete 0
Mamelodi Sundowns 0
Scottland 2
Petro Atletico 0
African Stars 0
Orlando Pirates 1
15 de Agosto 0
Simba 2
CFFA 0
Young Africans 4
Asswehly 1
Esperance Tunis 0
APR 0
Zamalek 1
EL Merriekh Bentiu 0
Pyramids 1
Sidama Bunna 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 2
Star Sport Academy 0
Berkane 2
Maghreb Fez 1
ASEC Mimosas 1
Teungueth 0
Colombe 2
Rangers International 2
MC Alger 0
San Pedro 2
Nouadhibou 1
Horoya 1
Al Merreikh 0
Mazembe 1
Club Africain 1