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Maghreb Fez vs Berkane - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro Complexe sportif de Fès, Fès
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maghreb Fez host Berkane in the Botola Pro. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Maghreb Fez have averaged 1.3 scored and 0.73 conceded recently, against Berkane's 1.26 scored and 0.8 conceded. Past meetings favor Berkane slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.94, favoring Berkane. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Maghreb Fez
35%
Draws
34%
Berkane
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Berkane carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Maghreb Fez Clean Sheet 20%
Berkane Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maghreb Fez Berkane
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 15 18
Draws 10 12
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.3 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Berkane
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 Botola Pro
Berkane vs Maghreb Fez
1:1
May 11, 2025 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Berkane
1:3
Mar 19, 2025 Excellence Cup
Berkane vs Maghreb Fez
3:3
Dec 22, 2024 Botola Pro
Berkane vs Maghreb Fez
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maghreb Fez 32 / 100
Berkane 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maghreb Fez Berkane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Maghreb Fez scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Berkane's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 35 matches.

Maghreb Fez went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maghreb Fez VS Berkane
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maghreb Fez

(Home)
18 Oct
Maghreb Fez
1 : 1
ASEC Mimosas
14 Oct
IR Tanger
2 : 1
Maghreb Fez
08 Oct
Maghreb Fez
0 : 0
Raja Casablanca
03 Oct
Hassania Agadir
1 : 2
Maghreb Fez
27 Sept
Maghreb Fez
2 : 1
Renaissance Zemamra
Page 1 of 6

Berkane

(Away)
17 Oct
Star Sport Academy
0 : 2
Berkane
13 Oct
Berkane
2 : 2
Renaissance Zemamra
08 Oct
Union Touarga
0 : 0
Berkane
27 Sept
Moghreb Tetouan
0 : 0
Berkane
05 Jul
Difaa El Jadidi
1 : 3
Berkane
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kawkab Marrakech 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
2 COD Meknes 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Hassania Agadir 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
4 IR Tanger 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
5 Maghreb Fez 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
6 Union Touarga 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Difaa El Jadidi 4 2 0 2 11:11 6
8 Raja Casablanca 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
9 Wydad Athletic 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
10 FAR Rabat 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
11 Amal Tiznit 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
12 Berkane 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
13 Widad Temara 4 1 0 3 3:4 3
14 Moghreb Tetouan 4 0 3 1 2:5 3
15 FUS Rabat 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
16 Renaissance Zemamra 4 0 1 3 5:10 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2027/2028 (Main)