Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maghreb Fez vs Kawkab Marrakech

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro 2025/2026 Complexe sportif de Fès, Fès
Our Tip

Match Events

54'
Mihrab I.
55' Event
Benjdida S.
Assist: Tahiri A.
63'
Sub
Tahiri A. In: Yamga K.
Out: Tahiri A.

AI Match Summary

The Botola Pro 2025/2026 game between Maghreb Fez and Kawkab Marrakech finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Maghreb Fez
35%
Draws
23%
Kawkab Marrakech
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maghreb Fez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maghreb Fez come out ahead of Kawkab Marrakech on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Maghreb Fez taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Maghreb Fez Clean Sheet 68%
Kawkab Marrakech Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maghreb Fez Kawkab Marrakech
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 11 12
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Botola Pro
Kawkab Marrakech vs Maghreb Fez
0:0
Feb 27, 2026 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Kawkab Marrakech
1:1
Oct 5, 2020 Botola 2
Kawkab Marrakech vs Maghreb Fez
1:1
Dec 29, 2019 Botola 2
Maghreb Fez vs Kawkab Marrakech
1:0
Mar 9, 2016 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Kawkab Marrakech
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maghreb Fez Compare

Top Goalscorer Benjdida S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kawkab Marrakech Compare

Top Goalscorer Boutaib K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maghreb Fez 86 / 100
Kawkab Marrakech 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maghreb Fez Kawkab Marrakech

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maghreb Fez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maghreb Fez went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Maghreb Fez scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Kawkab Marrakech has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Maghreb Fez VS Kawkab Marrakech
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maghreb Fez

(Home)
12 Sept
Rahimo
0 : 0
Maghreb Fez
06 Sept
Maghreb Fez
4 : 1
Rahimo
05 Jul
Maghreb Fez
2 : 0
Dcheira
02 Jul
Kawkab Marrakech
0 : 0
Maghreb Fez
28 Jun
Maghreb Fez
2 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
Page 1 of 6

Kawkab Marrakech

(Away)
05 Jul
Hassania Agadir
1 : 1
Kawkab Marrakech
02 Jul
Kawkab Marrakech
0 : 0
Maghreb Fez
28 Jun
Difaa El Jadidi
1 : 1
Kawkab Marrakech
25 Jun
Kawkab Marrakech
2 : 0
FUS Rabat
21 Jun
FAR Rabat
2 : 0
Kawkab Marrakech
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maghreb Fez 30 16 11 3 40:17 59
2 Berkane 30 16 9 5 44:27 57
3 Raja Casablanca 30 16 8 6 39:19 56
4 FAR Rabat 30 13 16 1 45:22 55
5 Wydad Athletic 30 13 4 13 39:33 43
6 Difaa El Jadidi 30 9 13 8 30:34 40
7 IR Tanger 30 9 12 9 27:31 39
8 FUS Rabat 30 9 10 11 31:36 37
9 Kawkab Marrakech 30 8 12 10 27:26 36
10 COD Meknes 30 9 9 12 24:33 36
11 Renaissance Zemamra 30 8 9 13 28:37 33
12 Hassania Agadir 30 8 9 13 27:39 33
13 Union Touarga 30 6 13 11 32:40 31
14 Dcheira 30 7 9 14 29:40 30
15 Yacoub El Mansour 30 7 9 14 34:44 30
16 Olympique de Safi 30 3 13 14 24:42 22
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2026/2027 (Main)