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Magni vs Samherjar

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Rosbergsson K.
26' Event
Heidarsson V. M.
31' Event
Odinsson O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Magni advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Magni
15%
Draws
36%
Samherjar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Magni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Magni come out ahead of Samherjar on wins alone.
  • Magni are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Magni have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Magni, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Magni Clean Sheet 12%
Samherjar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magni Samherjar
Matches Played 32 8
Wins 11 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.47 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2023 Icelandic Cup
Magni vs Samherjar
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magni Compare

Top Goalscorer Heidarsson V. M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rosbergsson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Samherjar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magni 83 / 100
Samherjar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magni Samherjar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samherjar has conceded goals in 88% of their last 8 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Magni found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Samherjar's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Magni VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Magni

(Home)
12 Sept
Throttur Vogar
2 : 1
Magni
05 Sept
Magni
0 : 2
Kari
29 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 0
Magni
23 Aug
Magni
3 : 1
Olafsvik
19 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
1 : 1
Magni
Page 1 of 7

Samherjar

(Away)
05 Apr
Tindastoll
7 : 0
Samherjar
01 Apr
Magni
4 : 0
Samherjar
22 Apr
Thor Akureyri
7 : 0
Samherjar
09 Apr
Hamrarnir
3 : 6
Samherjar
24 Apr
Dalvik/Reynir
7 : 1
Samherjar
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 7
Hafnir 0
IR Reykjavik 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBU 7
Hamar 0
KA Asvellir 5
Kormakur/Hvot 4
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 5
Alafoss 3
Hviti 3
GG Grindavik 2
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
Dalvik/Reynir -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 2
Tindastoll 7
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ymir 1
KFS 2
Throttur 18
Stokkseyri 0
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Berserkir / Midas 1
Smari 2
Reynir 1
Aegir 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
SR Reykjavik 1
Augnablik 5
Njardvik 4
Hordur Isafjordur 0
KFA -
TBD -
TBD -
Spyrnir -
Ellidi 0
Arborg 1
Kari 5
Lettir 0
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Arbaer 2
Olafsvik 1
Reynir Hellissandur 1
KFK Kopavogur 7
Selfoss 7
Alftanes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
Magni 4
Samherjar 0
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri -
Skallagrimur 2
KFR 3
Vaengirs 4
KH Hlidarendi 5
Sindri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulfarnir 1
Throttur Vogar 3
KV Reykjavik 17
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 2
Vidir 3
1/32-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
IBU 4
KA Asvellir 3
Valur -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 3
Hviti 2
Afturelding 0
Grindavik 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Tindastoll 1
Fram -
TBD -
KFS 0
Throttur 5
Kria 0
Fjolnir 10
TBD -
Breidablik -
Smari 1
Aegir 6
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Augnablik 2
Njardvik 3
KFA 7
Spyrnir 1
Arborg 1
Kari 3
Thor Akureyri 6
Fjallabyggd 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Arbaer 0
KFK Kopavogur 0
Selfoss 8
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Volsungur 0
Magni 1
Grotta 1
Vestri 0
KFR 0
KH Hlidarendi 1
Sindri 4
Hottur / Huginn 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar 2
KV Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Akranes 3
Vidir 0
1/16-finals
Kopavogur 5
KFG Gardabaer 0
KA Akureyri 5
IBU 0
Valur 4
RB Keflavik 1
Grindavik 2
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fram 2
Throttur 3
Fjolnir 0
Breidablik 2
Aegir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Njardvik 4
KFA 1
Kari 1
Thor Akureyri 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 6
Magni 2
Grotta 4
KH Hlidarendi 3
Sindri 2
Fylkir 4
KR Reykjavik 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Stjarnan 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Keflavik 1
Akranes 0
1/8-finals
Kopavogur 1
KA Akureyri 3
Valur 1
Grindavik 3
Throttur 0
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
Njardvik 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grotta 1
Fylkir 3
KR Reykjavik 4
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 0
Quarter-finals
KA Akureyri 2
Grindavik 1
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 1
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
KR Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
KA Akureyri 4
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
KR Reykjavik 1
Final
KA Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 3