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Magoulas vs E. Asteras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 9
Magoulas Logo

Magoulas

1 - 0
FT
E. Asteras Logo

E. Asteras

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 game between Magoulas and E. Asteras finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Magoulas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Magoulas
15%
Draws
49%
E. Asteras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: E. Asteras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • E. Asteras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on E. Asteras taking it.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Magoulas have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Magoulas Clean Sheet 25%
E. Asteras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magoulas E. Asteras
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 3 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.71 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 9
Magoulas vs E. Asteras
1:0
Mar 24, 2013 Football League 2 - Group 1
Magoulas vs E. Asteras
3:0
Nov 25, 2012 Football League 2 - Group 1
E. Asteras vs Magoulas
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magoulas 25 / 100
E. Asteras 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magoulas E. Asteras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick E. Asteras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

E. Asteras let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: E. Asteras has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Magoulas scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Magoulas VS E. Asteras
0.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Magoulas

(Home)
04 Oct
Magoulas
1 : 0
E. Asteras
27 Sept
Saronikos Anavyssou
1 : 0
Magoulas
10 May
Aiolikos FC
3 : 0
Magoulas
26 Apr
Neas Manoladas
3 : 0
Magoulas
19 Apr
Magoulas
1 : 3
Achaiki
Page 1 of 6

E. Asteras

(Away)
04 Oct
Magoulas
1 : 0
E. Asteras
27 Sept
E. Asteras
2 : 3
Pannaxiakos
08 Apr
Afantou
1 : 1
E. Asteras
05 Apr
E. Asteras
4 : 1
Diagoras FC
02 Apr
AO Karystou
1 : 0
E. Asteras
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AO Ilisiakos 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Mykonos 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
3 Thyella Diastavroseos 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Saronikos Anavyssou 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
5 Pannaxiakos 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
6 Nea Ionia 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
7 Magoulas 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Ilioupoli 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Kyanos Astir Varis 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
10 E. Asteras 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
11 Acharnaikos 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 (Losers stage)