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Magpies vs Glacis United

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National League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Magpies and Glacis United finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Magpies.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Magpies
30%
Draws
27%
Glacis United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Magpies

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Magpies carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Magpies are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Magpies have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Magpies Clean Sheet 20%
Glacis United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magpies Glacis United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 National League
Magpies vs Glacis United
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 National League
Glacis United vs Magpies
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 National League
Glacis United vs Magpies
0:5
Nov 3, 2024 National League
Magpies vs Glacis United
3:1
Mar 30, 2024 National League
Glacis United vs Magpies
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magpies 85 / 100
Glacis United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magpies Glacis United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magpies Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glacis United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Magpies went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Magpies's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Magpies VS Glacis United
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Magpies

(Home)
18 Sept
College 1975
2 : 3
Magpies
11 Sept
Magpies
4 : 0
Hound Dogs
05 Sept
Europa FC
1 : 1
Magpies
29 Aug
Magpies
2 : 0
Lynx
22 Aug
Lions Gibraltar
1 : 1
Magpies
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Glacis United

(Away)
20 Sept
Lions Gibraltar
0 : 4
Glacis United
13 Sept
Glacis United
1 : 0
Lynx
06 Sept
Mons Calpe
2 : 0
Glacis United
30 Aug
Glacis United
0 : 2
Lincoln Red Imps
22 Aug
Europa FC
2 : 2
Glacis United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lincoln Red Imps 22 19 2 1 79:14 59
2 St Josephs 22 19 1 2 90:10 58
3 Mons Calpe 22 15 1 6 55:24 46
4 Europa FC 22 15 1 6 44:16 46
5 Lions Gibraltar 22 12 2 8 47:34 38
6 Lynx 22 10 4 8 34:33 34
7 Magpies 22 8 2 12 22:37 26
8 Europa Point 22 7 1 14 31:61 22
9 College 1975 22 3 5 14 15:45 14
10 Glacis United 22 3 3 16 18:57 12
11 Hound Dogs 22 1 5 16 10:66 8
12 Manchester 62 22 6 1 15 29:77 7
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)