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Magpies vs St Josephs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Gibraltar Gibraltar

National League
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Magpies host St Josephs in the National League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Magpies have averaged 1.67 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against St Josephs's 3.13 scored and 0.67 conceded. Head-to-head, Magpies have won 0 to St Josephs's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 20, 2025, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.60 xG vs 0.87) point toward St Josephs. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Magpies
30%
Draws
33%
St Josephs
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Magpies

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • St Josephs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Magpies a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and St Josephs have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Magpies Clean Sheet 20%
St Josephs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magpies St Josephs
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 20
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.67 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.87
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 National League
St Josephs vs Magpies
4:0
Sep 19, 2025 National League
Magpies vs St Josephs
0:2
Apr 11, 2025 National League
Magpies vs St Josephs
0:2
Feb 19, 2025 National League
Magpies vs St Josephs
1:3
Oct 3, 2024 National League
St Josephs vs Magpies
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magpies 36 / 100
St Josephs 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magpies St Josephs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magpies went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Magpies scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

St Josephs has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Magpies VS St Josephs
1.71 Goals Scored 0.88
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.5
86% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Magpies

(Home)
18 Sept
College 1975
2 : 3
Magpies
11 Sept
Magpies
4 : 0
Hound Dogs
05 Sept
Europa FC
1 : 1
Magpies
29 Aug
Magpies
2 : 0
Lynx
22 Aug
Lions Gibraltar
1 : 1
Magpies
Page 1 of 6

St Josephs

(Away)
19 Sept
Lynx
0 : 6
St Josephs
12 Sept
St Josephs
3 : 0
Europa FC
28 Aug
St Josephs
2 : 1
Mons Calpe
23 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1
St Josephs
16 Jul
St Josephs
0 : 0
Bohemians
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magpies 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
2 St Josephs 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
3 Lincoln Red Imps 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
4 Mons Calpe 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
5 Glacis United 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
6 Lions Gibraltar 5 2 1 2 10:11 7
7 Europa Point 5 2 1 2 8:11 7
8 Europa FC 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
9 College 1975 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
10 Hound Dogs 4 0 1 3 3:12 1
11 Lynx 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - National League (Championship Group)
Relegation - National League (Relegation Group)