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Maguary vs Piaui

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Vinicius Kanu
45' Event
Matheus Bambu
67'
Helber Italo

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Maguary
15%
Draws
64%
Piaui
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piaui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Piaui carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Maguary a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Piaui arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Maguary, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Maguary Clean Sheet 20%
Piaui Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maguary Piaui
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Serie D
Piaui vs Maguary
1:0
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
Maguary vs Piaui
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maguary Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Kanu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Bambu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Piaui Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maguary 36 / 100
Piaui 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maguary Piaui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maguary's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Piaui let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Maguary remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maguary VS Piaui
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maguary

(Home)
12 Jul
Iguatu
2 : 1
Maguary
04 Jul
Maguary
2 : 3
Iguatu
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
14 Jun
ABC
1 : 0
Maguary
Page 1 of 6

Piaui

(Away)
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 0
ASA 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 2
Uberlandia 1
CSA 0
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -