Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maguary vs Retro

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano Stadium Arthur Tavares de Melo, Bonito
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Francisco
42'
Julio Cesar
46'
Sub
Diego Guerra In: Murilo
Out: Diego Guerra

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Maguary
20%
Draws
58%
Retro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Retro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Retro have won more games recently than Maguary.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Maguary taking it.
  • Retro arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Retro, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Maguary Clean Sheet 20%
Retro Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maguary Retro
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Pernambucano
Retro vs Maguary
2:1
Feb 4, 2026 Pernambucano
Maguary vs Retro
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Pernambucano
Maguary vs Retro
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Pernambucano
Maguary vs Retro
1:2
Mar 9, 2025 Pernambucano
Retro vs Maguary
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maguary Compare

Top Goalscorer Francisco
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Retro Compare

Top Goalscorer Vagner Love
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maguary 36 / 100
Retro 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maguary Retro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Retro let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Attacking prowess: Maguary scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Maguary stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maguary VS Retro
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maguary

(Home)
12 Jul
Iguatu
2 : 1
Maguary
04 Jul
Maguary
2 : 3
Iguatu
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
14 Jun
ABC
1 : 0
Maguary
Page 1 of 7

Retro

(Away)
14 Jun
Retro
3 : 0
Treze PB
31 May
Serra Branca
0 : 0
Retro
24 May
Retro
1 : 1
Lagarto
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
09 May
Sergipe
1 : 0
Retro
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nautico -
TBD -
Santa Cruz 3
Decisao 1
Sport Recife -
TBD -
Retro 3
Maguary 2
Semi-finals
Nautico 3
Santa Cruz 0
Sport Recife 4
Retro 2
Final
Nautico 3
Sport Recife 6