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Mahar United vs Dagon Port

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Thu Kaung Myat
38' Event
Ko A. S.
40' Event
Thu Kaung Myat

AI Match Summary

Mahar United in this National League matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mahar United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Mahar United
22%
Draws
60%
Dagon Port
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Dagon Port

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Mahar United have won more games recently than Dagon Port.
  • Win probability leans Dagon Port's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 10%
Dagon Port Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahar United Dagon Port
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 National League
Dagon Port vs Mahar United
4:4
Dec 25, 2025 National League
Mahar United vs Dagon Port
5:2
Jan 17, 2025 National League
Dagon Port vs Mahar United
3:2
Aug 4, 2024 National League
Mahar United vs Dagon Port
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mahar United Compare

Top Goalscorer Thu Kaung Myat
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gilles P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Dagon Port Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahar United 18 / 100
Dagon Port 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahar United Dagon Port

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dagon Port conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Mahar United scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Mahar United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mahar United VS Dagon Port
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shan United22184066:1058
2Yangon United22183170:757
3Dagon22116539:3039
4Ispe2294935:4631
5Hantharwady United2277832:3428
6Mahar United2277839:4428
7Yadanarbon22751038:3826
8Ayeyawady22751025:2626
9Thitsar Arman2259836:3824
10Dagon Port22571044:6222
11Rakhine United22541328:5419
12Yarmanya United22131817:806