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Mahar United vs Ispe

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ye Yint Z.
64' Event
Quansah I.
82' Event
Kaung Myat Nyein

AI Match Summary

Mahar United in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mahar United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mahar United
15%
Draws
42%
Ispe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mahar United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ispe lately — more wins on the board than Mahar United.
  • Model gives Mahar United a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mahar United have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 17%
Ispe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahar United Ispe
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.7 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 National League
Ispe vs Mahar United
2:4
Jan 23, 2026 National League
Mahar United vs Ispe
4:1
Oct 18, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Mahar United
1:0
Jan 24, 2025 National League
Mahar United vs Ispe
2:1
Jul 8, 2024 National League
Ispe vs Mahar United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mahar United Compare

Top Goalscorer Quansah I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ye Yint Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Ispe Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaung Myat Nyein
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahar United 57 / 100
Ispe 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahar United Ispe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mahar United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ispe let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Mahar United's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ispe's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mahar United VS Ispe
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahar United

(Home)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
12 Mar
Shan United
2 : 1
Mahar United
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
Page 1 of 6

Ispe

(Away)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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