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Mahar United vs Thitsar Arman

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Lin K. Z.
(Penalty)
26' Event
Zaw Saw Myo
39' Event
Aung Shine Wanna

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Mahar United and Thitsar Arman finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mahar United
30%
Draws
42%
Thitsar Arman
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thitsar Arman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Mahar United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Thitsar Arman are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 10%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahar United Thitsar Arman
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 15
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.7 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 National League
Mahar United vs Thitsar Arman
3:3
Sep 29, 2025 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Mahar United
3:0
Feb 28, 2025 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Mahar United
3:3
Aug 19, 2024 National League
Mahar United vs Thitsar Arman
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mahar United Compare

Top Goalscorer Naing T. S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gilles P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Thitsar Arman Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaw Saw Myo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aung Shine Wanna
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahar United 10 / 100
Thitsar Arman 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahar United Thitsar Arman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thitsar Arman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Mahar United found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Thitsar Arman conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Mahar United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mahar United VS Thitsar Arman
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahar United

(Home)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
12 Mar
Shan United
2 : 1
Mahar United
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
Page 1 of 6

Thitsar Arman

(Away)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
28 Aug
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Myawady
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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