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Mahar United vs Thitsar Arman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mahar United host Thitsar Arman in the National League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Mahar United at 1.69 goals for, 2 against; Thitsar Arman at 1.77 for, 1.6 against. Head-to-head, Mahar United have won 1 to Thitsar Arman's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 5, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.75) point toward Mahar United. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mahar United
35%
Draws
37%
Thitsar Arman
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Thitsar Arman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Mahar United have won more games recently than Thitsar Arman.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Thitsar Arman taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 12%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahar United Thitsar Arman
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 14
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.69 1.77
Goals Conceded 2 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 National League
Mahar United vs Thitsar Arman
3:3
Sep 29, 2025 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Mahar United
3:0
Feb 28, 2025 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Mahar United
3:3
Aug 19, 2024 National League
Mahar United vs Thitsar Arman
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahar United 19 / 100
Thitsar Arman 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahar United Thitsar Arman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thitsar Arman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Mahar United scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Thitsar Arman has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Mahar United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mahar United VS Thitsar Arman
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahar United

(Home)
09 Oct
Mahar United
1 : 1
Chinland
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
12 Mar
Shan United
2 : 1
Mahar United
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Thitsar Arman

(Away)
10 Oct
Ayeyawady
1 : 3
Thitsar Arman
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
28 Aug
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Myawady
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Shan United 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
3 Yadanarbon 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Yangon United 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
5 Thitsar Arman 3 1 2 0 7:5 5
6 Yangon Royals 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Mahar United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
8 Ayeyawady 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
9 Ispe 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
10 Hantharwady United 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
11 Chinland 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
12 Myawady 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
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