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Maharlika Manila vs Cebu FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Aristorenas J.

AI Match Summary

Maharlika Manila in this PFL matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maharlika Manila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Maharlika Manila
15%
Draws
21%
Cebu FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maharlika Manila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maharlika Manila lately — more wins on the board than Cebu FC.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Maharlika Manila taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cebu FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Maharlika Manila Clean Sheet 18%
Cebu FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maharlika Manila Cebu FC
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.19 2.42
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Cebu FC
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 PFL
Cebu FC vs Maharlika Manila
4:0
Nov 8, 2025 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Cebu FC
1:4
Mar 16, 2025 PFL
Cebu FC vs Maharlika Manila
3:0
Nov 23, 2024 PFL
Cebu FC vs Maharlika Manila
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maharlika Manila Compare

Top Goalscorer Aristorenas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Cebu FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maharlika Manila 67 / 100
Cebu FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maharlika Manila Cebu FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maharlika Manila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maharlika Manila scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Cebu FC let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Maharlika Manila went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maharlika Manila VS Cebu FC
3.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maharlika Manila

(Home)
04 Oct
Maharlika Manila
5 : 0
Philippine Army
27 Sept
Stallion
0 : 2
Maharlika Manila
20 Sept
Azkals
2 : 0
Maharlika Manila
12 Sept
Maharlika Manila
1 : 0
Cebu FC
06 Sept
Maharlika Manila
4 : 2
Tuloy
Page 1 of 7

Cebu FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Manila Digger
2 : 0
Cebu FC
12 Sept
Maharlika Manila
1 : 0
Cebu FC
30 May
Cebu FC
1 : 0
Kaya FC
27 May
Stallion
1 : 1
Cebu FC
23 May
Cebu FC
0 : 1
Davao Aguilas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maharlika Manila 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
2 Kaya FC 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
3 Manila Digger 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
4 Davao Aguilas 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
5 Stallion 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
6 Azkals 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
7 Tuloy 5 1 0 4 11:17 3
8 Mendiola FC 1991 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
9 Cebu FC 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
10 Philippine Army 3 0 0 3 3:14 0
Promotion - PFL (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL (Placement Group)