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Maharlika Manila vs Davao Aguilas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
09:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maharlika Manila host Davao Aguilas in the PFL. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Davao Aguilas have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Maharlika Manila have conceded 1.6 and scored 2.23. Past meetings favor Davao Aguilas slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.81, favoring Davao Aguilas. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Maharlika Manila
20%
Draws
38%
Davao Aguilas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maharlika Manila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Maharlika Manila have won more games recently than Davao Aguilas.
  • Win probability leans Maharlika Manila's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Maharlika Manila Clean Sheet 11%
Davao Aguilas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maharlika Manila Davao Aguilas
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 18 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.23 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Davao Aguilas
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Maharlika Manila
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Davao Aguilas
0:4
Feb 1, 2025 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Maharlika Manila
0:2
Jun 30, 2024 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Maharlika Manila
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maharlika Manila 38 / 100
Davao Aguilas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maharlika Manila Davao Aguilas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maharlika Manila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maharlika Manila scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Davao Aguilas let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Maharlika Manila remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maharlika Manila VS Davao Aguilas
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maharlika Manila

(Home)
04 Oct
Maharlika Manila
5 : 0
Philippine Army
27 Sept
Stallion
0 : 2
Maharlika Manila
20 Sept
Azkals
2 : 0
Maharlika Manila
12 Sept
Maharlika Manila
1 : 0
Cebu FC
06 Sept
Maharlika Manila
4 : 2
Tuloy
Page 1 of 7

Davao Aguilas

(Away)
04 Oct
Davao Aguilas
2 : 1
Tuloy
06 Sept
Mendiola FC 1991
0 : 4
Davao Aguilas
30 May
Stallion
2 : 2
Davao Aguilas
27 May
Davao Aguilas
1 : 1
Taguig
23 May
Cebu FC
0 : 1
Davao Aguilas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maharlika Manila 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
2 Kaya FC 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
3 Manila Digger 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
4 Davao Aguilas 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
5 Stallion 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
6 Tuloy 4 1 0 3 7:12 3
7 Azkals 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
8 Mendiola FC 1991 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
9 Cebu FC 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
10 Philippine Army 3 0 0 3 3:14 0
Promotion - PFL (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL (Placement Group)