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Maharlika Manila vs Kaya FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maharlika Manila host Kaya FC in the PFL. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Maharlika Manila at 2.27 goals for, 1.57 against; Kaya FC at 2.34 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Maharlika Manila have won 0 to Kaya FC's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 11, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.81) point toward Kaya FC. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Maharlika Manila
15%
Draws
36%
Kaya FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maharlika Manila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Maharlika Manila have won more games recently than Kaya FC.
  • Maharlika Manila are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular PFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kaya FC have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Maharlika Manila Clean Sheet 11%
Kaya FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maharlika Manila Kaya FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.27 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 PFL
Kaya FC vs Maharlika Manila
3:1
Jan 17, 2026 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Kaya FC
0:2
Feb 22, 2025 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Kaya FC
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 PFL
Kaya FC vs Maharlika Manila
4:1
Apr 21, 2024 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Kaya FC
1:10

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maharlika Manila 35 / 100
Kaya FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maharlika Manila Kaya FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maharlika Manila's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Kaya FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Maharlika Manila has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maharlika Manila VS Kaya FC
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Maharlika Manila

(Home)
04 Oct
Maharlika Manila
5 : 0
Philippine Army
27 Sept
Stallion
0 : 2
Maharlika Manila
20 Sept
Azkals
2 : 0
Maharlika Manila
12 Sept
Maharlika Manila
1 : 0
Cebu FC
06 Sept
Maharlika Manila
4 : 2
Tuloy
Page 1 of 6

Kaya FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Kaya FC
5 : 0
Philippine Army
12 Sept
Tuloy
0 : 3
Kaya FC
06 Sept
Azkals
1 : 3
Kaya FC
30 May
Cebu FC
1 : 0
Kaya FC
27 May
Kaya FC
0 : 3
Manila Digger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maharlika Manila 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
2 Manila Digger 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
3 Kaya FC 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
4 Davao Aguilas 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
5 Stallion 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
6 Azkals 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
7 Tuloy 5 1 0 4 11:17 3
8 Mendiola FC 1991 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
9 Cebu FC 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
10 Philippine Army 3 0 0 3 3:14 0
Promotion - PFL (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL (Placement Group)