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Maharlika Manila vs Philippine Army - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Yamamoto K.
15' Event
Ren N.
38' Event
Ren N.

AI Match Summary

Maharlika Manila in this PFL matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maharlika Manila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Maharlika Manila
15%
Draws
0%
Philippine Army
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maharlika Manila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maharlika Manila lately — more wins on the board than Philippine Army.
  • Win probability leans Maharlika Manila's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular PFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Maharlika Manila here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Maharlika Manila Clean Sheet 13%
Philippine Army Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maharlika Manila Philippine Army
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 18 0
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 28
Goals Scored 2.23 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.6 5.5
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Philippine Army
5:0
May 6, 2026 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Philippine Army
5:2
Mar 7, 2026 PFL
Philippine Army vs Maharlika Manila
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Philippine Army
5:1
Jun 15, 2024 PFL
Philippine Army vs Maharlika Manila
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maharlika Manila Compare

Top Goalscorer Ren N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yamamoto K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Philippine Army Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maharlika Manila 84 / 100
Philippine Army 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maharlika Manila Philippine Army

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maharlika Manila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maharlika Manila's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Philippine Army has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Philippine Army has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maharlika Manila VS Philippine Army
3.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 5.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Maharlika Manila

(Home)
04 Oct
Maharlika Manila
5 : 0
Philippine Army
27 Sept
Stallion
0 : 2
Maharlika Manila
20 Sept
Azkals
2 : 0
Maharlika Manila
12 Sept
Maharlika Manila
1 : 0
Cebu FC
06 Sept
Maharlika Manila
4 : 2
Tuloy
Page 1 of 7

Philippine Army

(Away)
04 Oct
Maharlika Manila
5 : 0
Philippine Army
27 Sept
Kaya FC
5 : 0
Philippine Army
20 Sept
Philippine Army
3 : 4
Tuloy
20 May
Don Bosco Garelli
8 : 1
Philippine Army
10 May
Philippine Army
1 : 2
Mendiola FC 1991
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maharlika Manila 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
2 Kaya FC 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
3 Manila Digger 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
4 Davao Aguilas 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
5 Stallion 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
6 Azkals 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
7 Tuloy 5 1 0 4 11:17 3
8 Mendiola FC 1991 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
9 Cebu FC 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
10 Philippine Army 3 0 0 3 3:14 0
Promotion - PFL (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL (Placement Group)