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Maharlika Manila vs United City

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maharlika Manila play United City in the PFL 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maharlika Manila averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. United City averaged 3.29 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Maharlika Manila won 0, United City won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 13, 2024 ended 2:9. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Maharlika Manila and 1.31 for United City. This points to a United City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Maharlika Manila
23%
Draws
44%
United City
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: United City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Maharlika Manila picked up more points recently compared to United City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Maharlika Manila Clean Sheet 18%
United City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maharlika Manila United City
Matches Played 42 21
Wins 20 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 2.07 3.29
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs United City
2:9
Apr 15, 2023 PFL
United City vs Maharlika Manila
0:0
Apr 2, 2023 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs United City
0:0
Oct 1, 2022 PFL
United City vs Maharlika Manila
1:0
Aug 7, 2022 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs United City
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maharlika Manila Compare

Top Goalscorer Mailly J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Otuyemi O. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

United City Compare

Top Goalscorer Sendra R. I.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ngueukam A.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maharlika Manila 33 / 100
United City 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maharlika Manila United City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: United City or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Maharlika Manila attacking → ← attacking United City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maharlika Manila scored in 76% of their last 42 games.

United City let in goals in 57% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Maharlika Manila went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

United City lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 41
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kaya FC14131082:540
2Cebu FC14120266:936
3Stallion14102265:1232
4Davao Aguilas14102239:632
5Taguig1494169:1431
6United City1493251:1330
7Manila Digger1480635:2524
8Loyola1451832:4516
9Maharlika Manila1451823:5316
10Mendiola FC 19911441927:4613
11Don Bosco Garelli14401015:8512
12Tuloy14301128:529
13Philippine Air Force14301119:599
14Philippine Army14211115:427
15Manila Montet1400143:1030