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Mahasarakham vs Bangkok FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Kingkkaew S.
60' Event
Gayoso J.
76' Event
Aung Lwin Moe
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2025/2026 game between Mahasarakham and Bangkok FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mahasarakham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Mahasarakham
35%
Draws
41%
Bangkok FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bangkok FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mahasarakham come out ahead of Bangkok FC on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 16%
Bangkok FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahasarakham Bangkok FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.3 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Bangkok FC
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Thai League 2
Bangkok FC vs Mahasarakham
2:2
Jan 25, 2025 Thai League 2
Bangkok FC vs Mahasarakham
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Bangkok FC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mahasarakham Compare

Top Goalscorer Chote-Jirachaithon P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bangkok FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gayoso J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahasarakham 31 / 100
Bangkok FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahasarakham Bangkok FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangkok FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Mahasarakham found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Bangkok FC has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Mahasarakham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mahasarakham VS Bangkok FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahasarakham

(Home)
19 Sept
Kanchanaburi
1 : 1
Mahasarakham
16 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
12 Sept
Khonkaen United
3 : 0
Mahasarakham
05 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1
Songkhla
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2
Khonkaen United
Page 1 of 6

Bangkok FC

(Away)
29 Aug
Ratchaburi
5 : 0
Bangkok FC
25 Apr
Bangkok FC
1 : 1
Trat FC
19 Apr
Nakhon Pathom
0 : 3
Bangkok FC
05 Apr
Bangkok FC
2 : 0
Nakhon Si United
20 Mar
Songkhla
3 : 0
Bangkok FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rasisalai United 34 20 11 3 64:35 71
2 Sisaket United 34 16 12 6 49:31 60
3 Pattani 34 16 10 8 49:45 58
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 16 6 12 59:59 54
5 Police Tero 34 15 8 11 50:44 53
6 Chainat Hornbill 34 12 10 12 50:46 46
7 Khonkaen United 34 11 12 11 60:52 45
8 Mahasarakham 34 12 9 13 47:42 45
9 Trat FC 34 12 8 14 49:53 44
10 Chiangmai United 34 14 1 19 55:58 43
11 Phrae United 34 10 13 11 40:50 43
12 Pattaya United 34 10 12 12 45:42 42
13 Songkhla 34 11 8 15 37:46 41
14 Chanthaburi 34 10 10 14 44:46 40
15 Nakhon Pathom 34 10 9 15 29:37 39
16 Kasetsart 34 9 11 14 46:49 38
17 Nakhon Si United 34 8 12 14 32:54 36
18 Bangkok FC 34 9 8 17 40:56 35
19 Lampang F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)