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Mahasarakham vs Muang Thong Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mahasarakham host Muang Thong Utd in the Thai League 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Mahasarakham at 1.22 goals for, 1.22 against; Muang Thong Utd at 0.97 for, 1.48 against. Head-to-head, Mahasarakham have won 0 to Muang Thong Utd's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 24, 2021, ending 0:2. xG projections (0.88 - 1.13) back Mahasarakham to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Mahasarakham
35%
Draws
41%
Muang Thong Utd
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Muang Thong Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mahasarakham come out ahead of Muang Thong Utd on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Mahasarakham taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 20%
Muang Thong Utd Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahasarakham Muang Thong Utd
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.22 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2021 Thai FA Cup
Mahasarakham vs Muang Thong Utd
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahasarakham 36 / 100
Muang Thong Utd 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahasarakham Muang Thong Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mahasarakham scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Muang Thong Utd conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mahasarakham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mahasarakham VS Muang Thong Utd
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahasarakham

(Home)
19 Sept
Kanchanaburi
1 : 1
Mahasarakham
16 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
12 Sept
Khonkaen United
3 : 0
Mahasarakham
05 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1
Songkhla
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2
Khonkaen United
Page 1 of 6

Muang Thong Utd

(Away)
10 Oct
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0
Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Satun FC
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
12 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
04 Sept
Uttaradit FC
0 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khonkaen United 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Uttaradit FC 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Muang Loei Utd 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
5 Phrae United 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
6 Chainat Hornbill 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
7 Muang Thong Utd 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
8 Satun FC 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
9 Kanchanaburi 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
10 Chiangmai United 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
11 Police Tero 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
12 Songkhla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
13 Chanthaburi 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
14 Nakhon Pathom 4 0 4 0 3:3 4
15 Pattaya United 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
16 Mahasarakham 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
17 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
18 Kasetsart 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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