Sport Picks
Mahasarakham vs Nakhon Pathom
Thailand
Thai League 2 2025/2026 Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham 
Match Events
14'
14'
Sato K.
47'
47'
Prachobklang N.
AI Match Summary
Nakhon Pathom in this Thai League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nakhon Pathom.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
15%
76%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nakhon Pathom
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ Very High Confidence
- Mahasarakham have won more games recently than Nakhon Pathom.
- 76% — that's where the model lands on Nakhon Pathom taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 24%
Nakhon Pathom Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mahasarakham | Nakhon Pathom |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Nakhon Pathom
0:2
Dec 6, 2025 Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom vs Mahasarakham
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mahasarakham Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Nakhon Pathom Compare
Top Goalscorer Sato K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Prachobklang N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mahasarakham 10 / 100
Nakhon Pathom 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mahasarakham Nakhon Pathom
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mahasarakham found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).
Nakhon Pathom's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Mahasarakham went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mahasarakham VS Nakhon Pathom
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Mahasarakham
(Home) 25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2 Khonkaen United
18 Apr
Rasisalai United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
04 Apr
Mahasarakham
0 : 2 Nakhon Pathom
22 Mar
Trat FC
2 : 0 Mahasarakham
18 Mar
Pathum United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
Page 1 of 7
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2 Khonkaen United
04 Apr
Mahasarakham
0 : 2 Nakhon Pathom
04 Mar
Mahasarakham
1 : 0 Pattaya United
22 Feb
Mahasarakham
3 : 0 Songkhla
15 Feb
Mahasarakham
0 : 1 Sisaket United
Page 1 of 4
Nakhon Pathom
(Away) 25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2 Nakhon Pathom
19 Apr
Nakhon Pathom
0 : 3 Bangkok FC
04 Apr
Mahasarakham
0 : 2 Nakhon Pathom
22 Mar
Nakhon Pathom
3 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
13 Mar
Khonkaen United
1 : 0 Nakhon Pathom
Page 1 of 7
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2 Nakhon Pathom
04 Apr
Mahasarakham
0 : 2 Nakhon Pathom
13 Mar
Khonkaen United
1 : 0 Nakhon Pathom
03 Mar
Rasisalai United
3 : 0 Nakhon Pathom
18 Feb
Pattaya United
1 : 1 Nakhon Pathom
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rasisalai United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 64:35 | 71 |
| 2 | Sisaket United | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 49:31 | 60 |
| 3 | Pattani | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 49:45 | 58 |
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59:59 | 54 |
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Chainat Hornbill | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50:46 | 46 |
| 7 | Khonkaen United | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 60:52 | 45 |
| 8 | Mahasarakham | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:42 | 45 |
| 9 | Trat FC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 49:53 | 44 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55:58 | 43 |
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:50 | 43 |
| 12 | Pattaya United | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45:42 | 42 |
| 13 | Songkhla | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:46 | 41 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29:37 | 39 |
| 16 | Kasetsart | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 46:49 | 38 |
| 17 | Nakhon Si United | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 32:54 | 36 |
| 18 | Bangkok FC | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 40:56 | 35 |
| 19 | Lampang F.C. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
