Sport Picks
Mahasarakham vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Thailand
League Cup Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham 
Match Events
5'
5'
Artserm K.
19'
19'
Saito A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Mahasarakham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Mahasarakham carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Nakhon Ratchasima FC a 90% chance of winning this.
- Mahasarakham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mahasarakham, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 20%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mahasarakham | Nakhon Ratchasima FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.25 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 28, 2026 League Cup
Mahasarakham vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mahasarakham Compare
Top Goalscorer Artserm K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Saito A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mahasarakham 10 / 100
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mahasarakham Nakhon Ratchasima FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nakhon Ratchasima FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Mahasarakham scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Nakhon Ratchasima FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Mahasarakham VS Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mahasarakham
(Home) 25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2 Khonkaen United
18 Apr
Rasisalai United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
04 Apr
Mahasarakham
0 : 2 Nakhon Pathom
22 Mar
Trat FC
2 : 0 Mahasarakham
18 Mar
Pathum United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2 Khonkaen United
04 Apr
Mahasarakham
0 : 2 Nakhon Pathom
04 Mar
Mahasarakham
1 : 0 Pattaya United
22 Feb
Mahasarakham
3 : 0 Songkhla
15 Feb
Mahasarakham
0 : 1 Sisaket United
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Nakhon Ratchasima FC
(Away) 10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Sukhothai
25 Apr
Pathum United
1 : 0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
18 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
11 Apr
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Bangkok Utd
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
25 Apr
Pathum United
1 : 0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
18 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
21 Mar
Ayutthaya United
0 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
21 Feb
Port MTI FC
2 : 0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Pattani2
Ratchaburi0
Nakhon Pathom0
Uthai Thani2
Thonburi United0
Buriram United F.C.4
Samut Sakhon City0
Prachuap2
Bangkok FC0
Muang Thong Utd4
Uttaradit FC0
Pathum United4
Mahasarakham2
Rayong FC1
Lopburi City1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC2
Satun FC0
Lamphun Warrior2
Nong Bua Pitchaya1
Chonburi5
Thap Luang United1
Chiangrai Utd0
Customs Utd2
Sukhothai3
Chainat Hornbill0
Port MTI FC5
Bankhai United0
Ayutthaya United1
Khonkaen United1
Kanchanaburi0
Pattaya United0
Bangkok Utd3
1/8-finals
Pattani2
Uthai Thani1
Buriram United F.C.3
Prachuap2
Muang Thong Utd0
Pathum United2
Mahasarakham2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0
Lamphun Warrior0
Chonburi3
Thap Luang United1
Sukhothai0
Port MTI FC2
Ayutthaya United1
Khonkaen United3
Bangkok Utd2
Quarter-finals
Pattani0
Buriram United F.C.3
Pathum United3
Mahasarakham0
Chonburi1
Thap Luang United0
Port MTI FC7
Khonkaen United0
Semi-finals
Buriram United F.C.0
Pathum United1
Chonburi3
Port MTI FC4
Final
Pathum United0
Port MTI FC1