Sport Picks
Mahasarakham vs Pattaya United
Thailand
Thai League 2 2025/2026 Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham 
Match Events
38'
38'
Chitchanok
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 2 2025/2026 game between Mahasarakham and Pattaya United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mahasarakham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pattaya United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Mahasarakham carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Thai League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 15%
Pattaya United Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mahasarakham | Pattaya United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2026 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Pattaya United
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Thai League 2
Pattaya United vs Mahasarakham
2:3
Jan 19, 2025 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Pattaya United
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Thai League 2
Pattaya United vs Mahasarakham
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mahasarakham Compare
Top Goalscorer Chitchanok
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Pattaya United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mahasarakham 31 / 100
Pattaya United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mahasarakham Pattaya United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mahasarakham's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Pattaya United has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
Solid form: Mahasarakham remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mahasarakham VS Pattaya United
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mahasarakham
(Home) 19 Sept
Kanchanaburi
1 : 1 Mahasarakham
16 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
12 Sept
Khonkaen United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
05 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1 Songkhla
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2 Khonkaen United
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
05 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1 Songkhla
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2 Khonkaen United
04 Apr
Mahasarakham
0 : 2 Nakhon Pathom
04 Mar
Mahasarakham
1 : 0 Pattaya United
Page 1 of 3
Pattaya United
(Away) 20 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3 Phrae United
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0 Pattaya United
11 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3 Police Tero
05 Sept
Chiangmai United
0 : 1 Pattaya United
25 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 2 Pattaya United
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0 Pattaya United
05 Sept
Chiangmai United
0 : 1 Pattaya United
25 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 2 Pattaya United
05 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 0 Pattaya United
14 Mar
Nong Bua Pitchaya
1 : 1 Pattaya United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rasisalai United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 64:35 | 71 |
| 2 | Sisaket United | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 49:31 | 60 |
| 3 | Pattani | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 49:45 | 58 |
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59:59 | 54 |
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Chainat Hornbill | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50:46 | 46 |
| 7 | Khonkaen United | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 60:52 | 45 |
| 8 | Mahasarakham | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:42 | 45 |
| 9 | Trat FC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 49:53 | 44 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55:58 | 43 |
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:50 | 43 |
| 12 | Pattaya United | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45:42 | 42 |
| 13 | Songkhla | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:46 | 41 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29:37 | 39 |
| 16 | Kasetsart | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 46:49 | 38 |
| 17 | Nakhon Si United | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 32:54 | 36 |
| 18 | Bangkok FC | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 40:56 | 35 |
| 19 | Lampang F.C. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
