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Mahasarakham vs Rasisalai United

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mahasarakham play Rasisalai United in the Thai League 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mahasarakham averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Rasisalai United averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Mahasarakham won 0, Rasisalai United won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Mahasarakham and 1.25 for Rasisalai United. This points to a Rasisalai United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mahasarakham
24%
Draws
47%
Rasisalai United
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Rasisalai United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Mahasarakham picked up more points recently compared to Rasisalai United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 19%
Rasisalai United Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahasarakham Rasisalai United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.47 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.33 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Thai League 2
Rasisalai United vs Mahasarakham
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Rasisalai United
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mahasarakham Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung Lwin Moe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Rasisalai United Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gilberto Macena
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahasarakham 30 / 100
Rasisalai United 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahasarakham Rasisalai United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rasisalai United or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mahasarakham attacking → ← attacking Rasisalai United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mahasarakham scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Rasisalai United let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Mahasarakham went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Rasisalai United lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 60
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rasisalai United342011364:3571
2Sisaket United341612649:3160
3Pattani341610849:4558
4Nong Bua Pitchaya341661259:5954
5Police Tero341581150:4453
6Chainat Hornbill3412101250:4646
7Khonkaen United3411121160:5245
8Mahasarakham341291347:4245
9Trat FC341281449:5344
10Chiangmai United341411955:5843
11Phrae United3410131140:5043
12Pattaya United3410121245:4242
13Songkhla341181537:4641
14Chanthaburi3410101444:4640
15Nakhon Pathom341091529:3739
16Kasetsart349111446:4938
17Nakhon Si United348121432:5436
18Bangkok FC34981740:5635
19Lampang F.C.00000:00