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Mahasarakham vs Uttaradit FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mahasarakham host Uttaradit FC in the Thai League 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Uttaradit FC have shipped 1.56 goals a game lately, while Mahasarakham have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.29. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.36) point toward Uttaradit FC. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Mahasarakham
35%
Draws
43%
Uttaradit FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Uttaradit FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Uttaradit FC haven't matched Mahasarakham's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Thai League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 18%
Uttaradit FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahasarakham Uttaradit FC
Matches Played 31 9
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 2
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.29 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahasarakham 36 / 100
Uttaradit FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahasarakham Uttaradit FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uttaradit FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mahasarakham's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Mahasarakham remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Uttaradit FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 9 matches.

Uttaradit FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mahasarakham VS Uttaradit FC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.6
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 40%
0% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahasarakham

(Home)
19 Sept
Kanchanaburi
1 : 1
Mahasarakham
16 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
12 Sept
Khonkaen United
3 : 0
Mahasarakham
05 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1
Songkhla
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2
Khonkaen United
Page 1 of 7

Uttaradit FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Uttaradit FC
4 : 3
Chanthaburi
16 Sept
Uttaradit FC
2 : 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya
13 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 2
Uttaradit FC
04 Sept
Uttaradit FC
0 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
14 Jan
Ayutthaya United
3 : 0
Uttaradit FC
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khonkaen United 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Uttaradit FC 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Muang Loei Utd 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
5 Chainat Hornbill 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
6 Muang Thong Utd 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
7 Satun FC 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
8 Kanchanaburi 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
9 Chiangmai United 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
10 Police Tero 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
11 Songkhla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
12 Chanthaburi 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
13 Nakhon Pathom 4 0 4 0 3:3 4
14 Phrae United 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
15 Pattaya United 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
16 Mahasarakham 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
17 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
18 Kasetsart 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
Promotion - Thai League 1 2027/2028 (Main)
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