Sport Picks
Mahia vs Garde Republicaine
Africa
CECAFA Kagame Cup 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the CECAFA Kagame Cup. Mahia are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Mahia at 1.63 goals for, 0.75 against; Garde Republicaine at 0 for, 1 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Mahia to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mahia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Mahia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Mahia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mahia | Garde Republicaine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mahia's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Garde Republicaine has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Mahia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Garde Republicaine registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mahia
(Home)Garde Republicaine
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Vipers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Garde Republicaine | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 4 | APR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Simba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 | Mogadishu City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Rayon Sport | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Tusker | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 4 | KVZ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
