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Mahia vs KCB - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Mahia Logo

Mahia

Fri, Oct 2, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
KCB Logo

KCB

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mahia host KCB in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. KCB have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Mahia have conceded 1 and scored 1.3. Head-to-head, Mahia have won 3 to KCB's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 2, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.92 - 1.06) back Mahia to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mahia
15%
Draws
57%
KCB
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KCB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mahia have won more games recently than KCB.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mahia Clean Sheet 20%
KCB Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahia KCB
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.04
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Premier League
Mahia vs KCB
0:0
Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Mahia vs KCB
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
KCB vs Mahia
0:1
Apr 7, 2025 Premier League
KCB vs Mahia
0:1
Oct 23, 2024 Premier League
Mahia vs KCB
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahia 32 / 100
KCB 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahia KCB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KCB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mahia found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (23 games).

KCB's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 23 matches.

Away concern: KCB has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mahia VS KCB
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahia

(Home)
13 Sept
Pyramids
5 : 1
Mahia
06 Sept
Mahia
0 : 2
Pyramids
23 Aug
Mahia
1 : 3
Tusker
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Mahia
04 Aug
Mahia
2 : 1
Al Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 5

KCB

(Away)
14 Jun
KCB
0 : 2
Bandari
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2
KCB
23 May
KCB
0 : 1
Posta Rangers
16 May
Tusker
1 : 0
KCB
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)