Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mahia vs KCB

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
3 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Morrison E.
28' Event
Musa S.
43' Event
Kappen S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Mahia and KCB finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mahia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mahia
15%
Draws
57%
KCB
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KCB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mahia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Mahia Clean Sheet 28%
KCB Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahia KCB
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.84 0.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Mahia vs KCB
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
KCB vs Mahia
0:1
Apr 7, 2025 Premier League
KCB vs Mahia
0:1
Oct 23, 2024 Premier League
Mahia vs KCB
0:0
May 16, 2024 Premier League
KCB vs Mahia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mahia Compare

Top Goalscorer Morrison E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Musa S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

KCB Compare

Avg xG / game 0.59
Avg xA / game 0.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahia 34 / 100
KCB 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahia KCB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KCB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mahia scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: KCB conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Away concern: KCB has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mahia VS KCB
1.25 Goals Scored 0.29
1 Goals Conceded 0.43
50% Over 1.5 29%
50% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahia

(Home)
13 Sept
Pyramids
5 : 1
Mahia
06 Sept
Mahia
0 : 2
Pyramids
23 Aug
Mahia
1 : 3
Tusker
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Mahia
04 Aug
Mahia
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 6

KCB

(Away)
14 Jun
KCB
0 : 2
Bandari
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2
KCB
23 May
KCB
0 : 1
Posta Rangers
16 May
Tusker
1 : 0
KCB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)