Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mahia vs Vipers

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup
Mahia Logo

Mahia

0 - 1
FT
Vipers Logo

Vipers

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Mulongo G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Mahia
20%
Draws
50%
Vipers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vipers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Vipers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vipers's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Vipers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vipers, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mahia Clean Sheet 24%
Vipers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahia Vipers
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 11
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 1.4 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Mahia vs Vipers
0:1
Jul 8, 2018 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Mahia vs Vipers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mahia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vipers Compare

Top Goalscorer Mulongo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahia 17 / 100
Vipers 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahia Vipers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vipers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mahia scored in 72% of their last 25 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Vipers let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.

Mahia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mahia VS Vipers
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahia

(Home)
13 Sept
Pyramids
5 : 1
Mahia
06 Sept
Mahia
0 : 2
Pyramids
23 Aug
Mahia
1 : 3
Tusker
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Mahia
04 Aug
Mahia
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 5

Vipers

(Away)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
2 Vipers 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 APR 3 2 0 1 5:7 6
4 Garde Republicaine 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamus 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Simba 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Singida Black Stars 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Mogadishu City 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayon Sport 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Al-Hilal Omdurman 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Tusker 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 KVZ 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams