Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mahlsdorf vs Furstenwalde

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Stephan K.
16' Event
Glaschke A.
22' Event
Zorn C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Mahlsdorf in this Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mahlsdorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Mahlsdorf
20%
Draws
0%
Furstenwalde
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mahlsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Mahlsdorf have won more games recently than Furstenwalde.
  • Mahlsdorf are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Mahlsdorf Clean Sheet 68%
Furstenwalde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahlsdorf Furstenwalde
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 1
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 26
Goals Scored 1.52 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.55 3.28
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs Furstenwalde
4:1
Nov 26, 2023 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Furstenwalde vs Mahlsdorf
2:1
Feb 18, 2023 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Furstenwalde vs Mahlsdorf
1:1
Aug 28, 2022 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs Furstenwalde
1:1
Jan 12, 2022 Club Friendly
Furstenwalde vs Mahlsdorf
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mahlsdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Stephan K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zorn C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Furstenwalde Compare

Top Goalscorer Glaschke A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahlsdorf 95 / 100
Furstenwalde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahlsdorf Furstenwalde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mahlsdorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Furstenwalde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Furstenwalde has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mahlsdorf found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mahlsdorf VS Furstenwalde
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 7
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahlsdorf

(Home)
30 Aug
Reinickendorfer
1 : 1
Mahlsdorf
15 Aug
Mahlsdorf
1 : 0
Rathenow
08 Aug
Siedenbollentin
2 : 0
Mahlsdorf
14 Jul
Mahlsdorf
1 : 1
Luckenwalde
12 Jul
Altglienicke
3 : 0
Mahlsdorf
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Furstenwalde

(Away)
18 Jul
Polonia Slubice
7 : 1
Furstenwalde
08 Jun
Furstenwalde
1 : 2
SC Staaken
02 Jun
Mahlsdorf
4 : 1
Furstenwalde
17 May
Furstenwalde
0 : 2
TB Berlin
05 May
Furstenwalde
0 : 4
Rostocker FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Zehlendorf 28 22 5 1 102:29 71
2 Lichtenberg 28 22 4 2 87:18 70
3 Sparta Lichtenberg 28 16 5 7 73:48 53
4 Mahlsdorf 28 14 4 10 52:43 46
5 TSG Neustrelitz 28 13 4 11 55:46 43
6 TB Berlin 28 11 8 9 49:48 41
7 TUS Makkabi 28 10 9 9 44:42 39
8 SV Tasmania Berlin 28 10 7 11 47:44 37
9 Wismar 28 10 6 12 47:52 36
10 Rathenow 28 9 7 12 46:55 34
11 Rsv Eintracht 28 10 3 15 49:66 33
12 SC Staaken 28 10 2 16 43:74 32
13 Dynamo Schwerin 28 8 4 16 43:62 28
14 Rostocker FC 28 7 2 19 43:88 23
15 Furstenwalde 28 2 2 24 22:87 8
16 CFC Hertha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)