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Mahlsdorf vs Viktoria Berlin

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mahlsdorf play Viktoria Berlin in the Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026. Mahlsdorf are favorites here. Recently, Mahlsdorf averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. Viktoria Berlin averaged 1.4 goals scored and 3.63 conceded. In past meetings, Mahlsdorf won 3, Viktoria Berlin won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Mahlsdorf and 1.44 for Viktoria Berlin. This points to a Mahlsdorf double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Mahlsdorf
21%
Draws
12%
Viktoria Berlin
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Mahlsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mahlsdorf picked up more points recently compared to Viktoria Berlin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Mahlsdorf Clean Sheet 16%
Viktoria Berlin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahlsdorf Viktoria Berlin
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.64 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.64 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs Viktoria Berlin
2:1
Dec 12, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Viktoria Berlin vs Mahlsdorf
1:5
Jan 14, 2025 Club Friendly
Mahlsdorf vs Viktoria Berlin
0:0
Jul 5, 2023 Club Friendly
Mahlsdorf vs Viktoria Berlin
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahlsdorf 64 / 100
Viktoria Berlin 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahlsdorf Viktoria Berlin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mahlsdorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Mahlsdorf & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mahlsdorf attacking → ← attacking Viktoria Berlin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mahlsdorf scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Viktoria Berlin let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Mahlsdorf went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Viktoria Berlin lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 13
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SV Tasmania Berlin30221785:3267
2Lichtenberg30194777:4561
3Hansa Rostock II30183966:4957
4TSG Neustrelitz30165962:3853
5Klosterfelde30157859:4352
6Siedenbollentin30138959:5947
7Mahlsdorf301371050:4946
8TUS Makkabi301421457:5544
9Wismar301251356:5541
10Sparta Lichtenberg301231577:7239
11Rathenow309101141:4737
12TB Berlin301061444:5836
13Berliner AK 07301131650:6636
14Dynamo Schwerin307101341:4731
15Croatia Berlin30542139:8119
16Viktoria Berlin30342342:10913