Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maiden City vs Bourneview Mill Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2019/2020
Sat, Aug 17, 2019
3 - 2
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Maiden City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Maiden City
15%
Draws
30%
Bourneview Mill
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maiden City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Maiden City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 30% — that's where the model lands on Bourneview Mill taking it.
  • Maiden City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Maiden City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Maiden City Clean Sheet 16%
Bourneview Mill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maiden City Bourneview Mill
Matches Played 14 3
Wins 9 0
Draws 0 1
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 2.64 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.21 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2019 Irish Cup
Maiden City vs Bourneview Mill
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maiden City 28 / 100
Bourneview Mill 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maiden City Bourneview Mill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bourneview Mill Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bourneview Mill let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Maiden City found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (14 games).

Solid form: Maiden City remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maiden City VS Bourneview Mill
3.75 Goals Scored 1.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Maiden City

(Home)
10 Jul
Ballinamallard
3 : 0
Maiden City
29 Aug
Crusaders
4 : 0
Maiden City
28 Sept
Maiden City
1 : 3
Tullycarnet
17 Aug
Maiden City
3 : 2
Bourneview Mill
05 Jan
Dergview
3 : 2
Maiden City
Page 1 of 3

Bourneview Mill

(Away)
07 Jul
Bourneview Mill
2 : 2
Portadown
17 Aug
Maiden City
3 : 2
Bourneview Mill
19 Aug
Derriaghy
3 : 1
Bourneview Mill

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Lower Maze -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
Ballynahinch United -
Strabane Athletic -
Maiden City 3
Bourneview Mill 2
TBD -
Tullycarnet -
Armagh 7
Bangor Old Boys 0
Tullyvallen Rangers 2
Dunloy 3
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tandragee -
TBD -
TBD -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -
Comber Rec 2
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
Dromara 3
Coagh Utd 6
Crumlin Star 8
Kilmore Rec 0
Desertmartin 1
Trojans 3
Greenisland -
TBD -
Bloomfield 1
Foundry 3
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
TBD -
Dromore Amateurs 1
Belfast Celtic 9
Woodvale 5
Windmill 1
Derriaghy 1
Annagh 4
Tobermore -
TBD -
Barn 0
Oxford Sunnyside 3
Suffolk 3
St Luke's 0
TBD -
Larne Technical Old Boys -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Newcastle 4
Grove 2
Dungiven 1
Banbridge 2
Dunmurry Rec 3
Rosemount Rec 2
Holywood 1
Newbuildings 4
Lurgan Town Boys 3
Iveagh Utd 1
Abbey Villa 1
St. James' Swifts 4
Ballymacash 3
St Oliver Plunkett 2
TBD -
Dunmurry Y.M. -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
St. Marys 1
East Belfast 3
Newtowne FC -
Drumaness -
Newington FC 5
Cookstown Youth 0
Ardstraw 3
Fivemiletown 2
Ards Rangers 1
Wakehurst 3
Islandmagee -
TBD -
TBD -
Shorts -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady 3
Ballynure Old Boys 0
TBD -
Immaculata -
Aquinas -
TBD -
Seapatrick 0
Craigavon City 5
Banbridge Rangers 2
Saintfield 0
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Bangor FC 3
Moneyslane FC 2
Malachians 1
Markethill 1
Mossley FC 4
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe 3
Cookstown RBL 2
Laurelvale 1
Chimney 5
Richhill -
Ballywalter Recreation -
TBD -
Valley Rangers -
Hanover -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
Oxford Stars -
Killyleagh Youth 1
Rosario Youth 0
Rectory Rangers 0
Downshire Y.M. 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brantwood -
TBD -
Colin Valley 0
Moyola 11
Crewe -
Donegal -
Bryansburn 1
Crumlin United 3
Shankill -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers -
Rathfriland Rangers -
TBD -
Sirocco 2
Seagoe 3
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
1/128-finals
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown 5
Lower Maze 0
Lisburn Distillery 3
Strabane Athletic 2
Maiden City 1
Tullycarnet 3
Armagh 2
Dunloy 1
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tandragee 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 7
Comber Rec 2
Coagh Utd 4
Crumlin Star -
Trojans -
Greenisland 2
Foundry 0
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart 0
Belfast Celtic 1
Woodvale 1
Annagh 7
Tobermore 7
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Suffolk 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 4
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Newcastle 0
Banbridge 5
Dunmurry Rec 3
Newbuildings 2
Lurgan Town Boys 0
St. James' Swifts 4
Ballymacash 2
Dunmurry Y.M. 1
Ballymoney 2
East Belfast 3
Newtowne FC 0
Newington FC 2
Ardstraw 4
Wakehurst 1
Islandmagee 5
Shorts 2
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady 2
Immaculata 0
Aquinas 2
Craigavon City 1
Banbridge Rangers 0
Bangor FC 3
Moneyslane FC 9
Mossley FC 0
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe 1
Chimney 2
Richhill 0
Valley Rangers 3
Hanover -
Oxford Stars -
Killyleagh Youth 1
Downshire Y.M. 0
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brantwood 4
Moyola 3
Crewe 3
Crumlin United 4
Shankill 1
Lisburn Rangers 4
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Seagoe 2
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
1/64-finals
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown 2
Lisburn Distillery 1
Tullycarnet 4
Armagh 3
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Coagh Utd 3
Crumlin Star 1
Greenisland 0
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Belfast Celtic 3
Annagh 1
Tobermore 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Banbridge 2
Dunmurry Rec 1
St. James' Swifts 0
Ballymacash 4
East Belfast 3
Newington FC 0
Ardstraw 1
Islandmagee 2
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady 3
Aquinas 0
Bangor FC 5
Moneyslane FC 1
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chimney 0
Valley Rangers 3
Hanover 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brantwood 1
Crumlin United 0
Lisburn Rangers 0
Rathfriland Rangers 3
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
1/32-finals
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
Dollingstown 6
Tullycarnet 0
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Coagh Utd 0
Crumlin Star 1
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
TBD -
Belfast Celtic 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Banbridge 3
Ballymacash 2
East Belfast 7
Islandmagee 1
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
Limavady 1
Bangor FC 3
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Valley Rangers 1
Hanover 5
Loughgall -
TBD -
Brantwood 2
Rathfriland Rangers 5
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
1/16-finals
Knockbreda 3
Dergview 2
Ballinamallard 1
Dollingstown 0
Warrenpoint 3
PSNI 1
Ballymena 2
Crumlin Star 0
Ballyclare 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 8
Belfast Celtic 0
Glenavon 0
Coleraine 2
Banbridge 3
East Belfast 2
Institute 2
Dungannon 3
Newry City 3
Bangor FC 1
Cliftonville 6
Hanover 0
Loughgall 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Queens University 2
Linfield 1
Glentoran 3
Portadown 2
Ards 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Crusaders 3
Dundela 0
1/8-finals
Knockbreda 2
Ballinamallard 5
Warrenpoint 1
Ballymena 2
Ballyclare 0
Larne 1
Coleraine 3
Banbridge 0
Dungannon 4
Newry City 2
Cliftonville 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Queens University 2
Glentoran 3
Carrick Rangers 1
Crusaders 5
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 0
Ballymena 2
Larne 2
Coleraine 3
Dungannon 1
Cliftonville 2
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Semi-finals
Ballymena 2
Coleraine 1
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 2
Final
Ballymena 1
Glentoran 2