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Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers

England England

National League South York Road, Maidenhead
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Maidenhead
35%
Draws
38%
Dorking Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dorking Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Maidenhead haven't matched Dorking Wanderers's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 13%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maidenhead Dorking Wanderers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 National League South
Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers
0:0
Apr 29, 2026 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 National League South
Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers
2:0
Oct 28, 2025 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead
1:0
Mar 9, 2024 National League
Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maidenhead 31 / 100
Dorking Wanderers 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maidenhead Dorking Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorking Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorking Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Maidenhead scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Maidenhead stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maidenhead VS Dorking Wanderers
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Maidenhead

(Home)
19 Sept
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Ebbsfleet
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2
Billericay
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4
Torquay
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Maidenhead
31 Aug
Maidenhead
1 : 1
AFC Totton
Page 1 of 6

Dorking Wanderers

(Away)
22 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
5 : 4
Southall FC
20 Sept
Southall FC
2 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
12 Sept
Torquay
2 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3
Chelmsford
05 Sept
Billericay
3 : 3
Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
3 Dagenham & Red. 9 5 1 3 9:7 16
4 Salisbury 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
5 Billericay 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
6 Tonbridge 9 4 2 3 18:9 14
7 Truro 8 4 2 2 11:4 14
8 Dover Ath. 9 4 2 3 15:16 14
9 Dorking Wanderers 9 3 4 2 18:13 13
10 Torquay 9 3 4 2 13:11 13
11 Farnham 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
12 Folkestone 8 3 3 2 15:9 12
13 Chesham 9 3 1 5 16:15 10
14 Chelmsford 8 1 7 0 9:8 10
15 Horsham FC 8 2 4 2 9:10 10
16 Hemel Hempstead 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
17 Maidenhead 9 2 4 3 8:11 10
18 Braintree 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
19 AFC Totton 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
20 Farnborough 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
21 Hampton & Richmond 9 2 2 5 11:23 8
22 Ebbsfleet 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
23 Slough Town 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
24 Walton & Hersham 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)