Sport Picks
Maidenhead vs Dover Ath.
England
National League South 2025/2026 York Road, Maidenhead 
Match Events
50'
50'
Bartley R.
AI Match Summary
The National League South 2025/2026 game between Maidenhead and Dover Ath. finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maidenhead.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dover Ath.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Maidenhead come out ahead of Dover Ath. on wins alone.
- 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Maidenhead have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 16%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maidenhead | Dover Ath. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 National League South
Maidenhead vs Dover Ath.
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Maidenhead
1:2
Apr 9, 2022 National League
Dover Ath. vs Maidenhead
0:1
Aug 28, 2021 National League
Maidenhead vs Dover Ath.
2:0
Mar 2, 2021 National League
Maidenhead vs Dover Ath.
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maidenhead Compare
Top Goalscorer Bartley R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Dover Ath. Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maidenhead 36 / 100
Dover Ath. 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maidenhead Dover Ath.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dover Ath. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dover Ath. let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.
Maidenhead found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Maidenhead has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Maidenhead VS Dover Ath.
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Maidenhead
(Home) 15 Aug
Maidenhead
0 : 0 Dorking Wanderers
08 Aug
Truro
2 : 0 Maidenhead
01 Aug
Brackley
1 : 0 Maidenhead
25 Jul
Wimborne
1 : 1 Maidenhead
22 Jul
Maidenhead
0 : 1 Wolves
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Maidenhead
0 : 0 Dorking Wanderers
22 Jul
Maidenhead
0 : 1 Wolves
18 Jul
Maidenhead
1 : 3 Southampton U21
10 Jul
Maidenhead
1 : 4 Milton Keynes Dons
18 Apr
Maidenhead
1 : 0 Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 3
Dover Ath.
(Away) 15 Aug
Dover Ath.
5 : 3 Slough Town
08 Aug
Billericay
2 : 0 Dover Ath.
01 Aug
Dover Ath.
1 : 1 Carshalton
28 Jul
Dover Ath.
2 : 2 Herne Bay
25 Jul
Dover Ath.
1 : 0 Burgess Hill
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Billericay
2 : 0 Dover Ath.
04 Jul
Margate
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
18 Apr
Maidenhead
1 : 0 Dover Ath.
06 Apr
Ebbsfleet
4 : 0 Dover Ath.
28 Mar
Salisbury
2 : 1 Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
