Sport Picks

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Maidenhead vs Southampton U21

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ehibhatiomhan P.
32' Event
Pendlebury A.
74' Event
Sesay M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Maidenhead and Southampton U21 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southampton U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Maidenhead
30%
Draws
47%
Southampton U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Southampton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Southampton U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Southampton U21 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 19%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maidenhead Southampton U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Maidenhead vs Southampton U21
1:3
Feb 11, 2025 National League Cup
Maidenhead vs Southampton U21
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maidenhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Pendlebury A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Southampton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ehibhatiomhan P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sesay M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maidenhead 28 / 100
Southampton U21 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maidenhead Southampton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Maidenhead found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Maidenhead went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maidenhead VS Southampton U21
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maidenhead

(Home)
19 Sept
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Ebbsfleet
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2
Billericay
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4
Torquay
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Maidenhead
31 Aug
Maidenhead
1 : 1
AFC Totton
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Southampton U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Wolves U21
0 : 2
Southampton U21
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1
Bournemouth U21
08 Sept
Woking
4 : 1
Southampton U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1
Southampton U21
28 Aug
Everton U21
1 : 2
Southampton U21
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