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Maidenhead vs Southampton U21

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ehibhatiomhan P.
32' Event
Pendlebury A.
74' Event
Sesay M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Maidenhead and Southampton U21 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southampton U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Maidenhead
28%
Draws
50%
Southampton U21
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Southampton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Southampton U21's 1.8 goals per match outpaces what Maidenhead have produced (1.75).
  • Southampton U21 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 16%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maidenhead Southampton U21
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Maidenhead vs Southampton U21
1:3
Feb 11, 2025 National League Cup
Maidenhead vs Southampton U21
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maidenhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Pendlebury A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Southampton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ehibhatiomhan P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sesay M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maidenhead 23 / 100
Southampton U21 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maidenhead Southampton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Maidenhead found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Southampton U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maidenhead VS Southampton U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.8
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Maidenhead

(Home)
22 Jul
Maidenhead
0 : 1
Wolves
18 Jul
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Southampton U21
14 Jul
Holyport
1 : 4
Maidenhead
10 Jul
Maidenhead
1 : 4
Milton Keynes Dons
29 Apr
Dorking Wanderers
2 : 0
Maidenhead
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Southampton U21

(Away)
18 Jul
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Southampton U21
24 Apr
Southampton U21
3 : 4
Aston Villa U21
12 Apr
Stoke City U21
1 : 0
Southampton U21
20 Mar
Southampton U21
2 : 1
Leeds U21
13 Mar
Manchester United U21
2 : 1
Southampton U21
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