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Maidenhead vs Torquay

England England

National League South York Road, Maidenhead
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Ragguette J.
47'
David Abbott G.
47'
David Abbott G.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Maidenhead and Torquay finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torquay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Maidenhead
30%
Draws
41%
Torquay
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Torquay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Torquay carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 20%
Torquay Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maidenhead Torquay
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.16 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 National League South
Maidenhead vs Torquay
0:4
Feb 14, 2026 National League South
Torquay vs Maidenhead
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 National League South
Maidenhead vs Torquay
1:2
Apr 10, 2023 National League
Maidenhead vs Torquay
1:3
Oct 4, 2022 National League
Torquay vs Maidenhead
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maidenhead Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Torquay Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooke C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lo-Everton S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maidenhead 36 / 100
Torquay 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maidenhead Torquay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torquay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torquay let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Maidenhead's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: Maidenhead remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maidenhead VS Torquay
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maidenhead

(Home)
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4
Torquay
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Maidenhead
31 Aug
Maidenhead
1 : 1
AFC Totton
29 Aug
Chelmsford
1 : 0
Maidenhead
22 Aug
Maidenhead
1 : 1
Farnborough
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Torquay

(Away)
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4
Torquay
05 Sept
Torquay
3 : 2
Folkestone
31 Aug
Farnham
2 : 0
Torquay
29 Aug
Torquay
1 : 1
Hampton & Richmond
22 Aug
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 0
Torquay
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 8 5 1 2 9:6 16
3 Weston-super-Mare 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
4 Tonbridge 8 4 1 3 17:8 13
5 Truro 6 4 1 1 10:2 13
6 Folkestone 7 3 3 1 14:7 12
7 Dorking Wanderers 8 3 3 2 16:11 12
8 Torquay 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
9 Salisbury 7 3 2 2 14:6 11
10 Billericay 7 3 2 2 13:10 11
11 Dover Ath. 8 3 2 3 14:16 11
12 Horsham FC 7 2 4 1 8:6 10
13 Farnham 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
14 AFC Totton 7 3 1 3 8:12 10
15 Farnborough 7 3 1 3 6:10 10
16 Chelmsford 7 1 6 0 8:7 9
17 Hemel Hempstead 8 2 3 3 7:9 9
18 Maidenhead 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
19 Chesham 8 2 1 5 12:14 7
20 Braintree 6 2 1 3 9:14 7
21 Hampton & Richmond 8 2 1 5 10:22 7
22 Ebbsfleet 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
23 Slough Town 7 0 0 7 8:21 0
24 Walton & Hersham 7 0 0 7 3:23 0
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Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)