Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maidenhead vs Weston-super-Mare

England England

National League South 2025/2026 York Road, Maidenhead
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Britton L.
47' Event
Pecover L.
65' Event
Robinson M.

AI Match Summary

Weston-super-Mare in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Weston-super-Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Maidenhead
20%
Draws
65%
Weston-super-Mare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Weston-super-Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Maidenhead haven't matched Weston-super-Mare's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Weston-super-Mare taking it.
  • Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 23%
Weston-super-Mare Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maidenhead Weston-super-Mare
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 National League South
Maidenhead vs Weston-super-Mare
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Maidenhead
1:0
Oct 14, 2023 FA Cup
Weston-super-Mare vs Maidenhead
0:3
Mar 11, 2017 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Maidenhead
1:3
Sep 24, 2016 National League South
Maidenhead vs Weston-super-Mare
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maidenhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Robinson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Weston-super-Mare Compare

Top Goalscorer Britton L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pecover L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maidenhead 24 / 100
Weston-super-Mare 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maidenhead Weston-super-Mare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Weston-super-Mare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maidenhead found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Weston-super-Mare has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Maidenhead remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maidenhead VS Weston-super-Mare
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maidenhead

(Home)
15 Aug
Maidenhead
0 : 0
Dorking Wanderers
08 Aug
Truro
2 : 0
Maidenhead
01 Aug
Brackley
1 : 0
Maidenhead
25 Jul
Wimborne
1 : 1
Maidenhead
22 Jul
Maidenhead
0 : 1
Wolves
Page 1 of 6

Weston-super-Mare

(Away)
15 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 0
Hampton & Richmond
08 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 0
Chesham
31 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 1
Gloucester City
25 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 2
Exeter
21 Jul
Taunton Town
0 : 4
Weston-super-Mare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Worthing FC 46 25 9 12 99:52 84
2 Hornchurch 46 23 12 11 81:64 81
3 Torquay 46 24 8 14 87:62 80
4 Dorking Wanderers 46 23 10 13 78:61 79
5 Hemel Hempstead 46 23 10 13 55:48 79
6 Weston-super-Mare 46 23 9 14 61:48 78
7 Maidenhead 46 22 11 13 66:41 77
8 Maidstone 46 22 11 13 72:50 77
9 Ebbsfleet 46 22 11 13 73:54 77
10 Chelmsford 46 21 10 15 73:62 73
11 Chesham 46 21 9 16 68:55 72
12 AFC Totton 46 20 6 20 60:79 66
13 Dagenham & Red. 46 17 13 16 61:62 64
14 Tonbridge 46 16 12 18 66:65 60
15 Horsham FC 46 15 14 17 53:54 59
16 Slough Town 46 15 9 22 69:87 54
17 Salisbury 46 14 11 21 50:65 53
18 Hampton & Richmond 46 14 11 21 56:72 53
19 Farnborough 46 14 11 21 72:92 53
20 Dover Ath. 46 13 11 22 60:75 50
21 Bath City 46 10 13 23 50:77 43
22 Chippenham Town 46 11 9 26 53:80 42
23 Enfield Town 46 9 13 24 55:82 40
24 Eastbourne Borough 46 9 9 28 59:90 36
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)