Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maidstone vs Hornchurch

England England

National League South 2025/2026 Gallagher Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gilbert J.
10' Event
Court R.
12' Event
Kargbo H.

AI Match Summary

Maidstone in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maidstone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Maidstone
39%
Draws
31%
Hornchurch
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Maidstone have won more games recently than Hornchurch.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 11%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maidstone Hornchurch
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.71 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.71 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.29 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 National League South
Maidstone vs Hornchurch
5:4
Dec 30, 2025 National League South
Hornchurch vs Maidstone
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 National League South
Hornchurch vs Maidstone
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 National League South
Maidstone vs Hornchurch
1:0
Feb 6, 2021 FA Trophy
Hornchurch vs Maidstone
5:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maidstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Gilbert J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Court R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.08
Avg xA / game 1.35

Hornchurch Compare

Top Goalscorer Rees J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Balanta A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maidstone 29 / 100
Hornchurch 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maidstone Hornchurch

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maidstone's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Maidstone remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Hornchurch let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Maidstone VS Hornchurch
2.71 Goals Scored 2.25
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.38
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036