Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maidstone vs Truro

England England

National League South Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maidstone host Truro in the National League South. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Maidstone at 2.38 goals for, 1.03 against; Truro at 1.18 for, 0.86 against. Head-to-head, Maidstone have won 3 to Truro's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 14, 2024, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.44, favoring Maidstone. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Maidstone
30%
Draws
37%
Truro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Truro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Truro haven't matched Maidstone's recent run of results.
  • Truro are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 16%
Truro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maidstone Truro
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 21 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.38 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2024 National League South
Truro vs Maidstone
0:2
Aug 17, 2024 National League South
Maidstone vs Truro
1:2
Apr 13, 2024 National League South
Truro vs Maidstone
3:1
Dec 5, 2023 National League South
Maidstone vs Truro
2:1
May 8, 2016 National League South
Maidstone vs Truro
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maidstone 28 / 100
Truro 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maidstone Truro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Truro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maidstone scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Truro let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Maidstone has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maidstone VS Truro
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maidstone

(Home)
22 Sept
Maidstone
0 : 2
Cray Wanderers
19 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 1
Maidstone
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Maidstone
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Maidstone
05 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 0
Weston-super-Mare
Page 1 of 6

Truro

(Away)
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0
Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1
Truro
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1
Salisbury
12 Sept
Truro
1 : 1
Walton & Hersham
08 Sept
Truro
4 : 1
Leicester U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
3 Dagenham & Red. 9 5 1 3 9:7 16
4 Salisbury 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
5 Billericay 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
6 Tonbridge 9 4 2 3 18:9 14
7 Truro 8 4 2 2 11:4 14
8 Dover Ath. 9 4 2 3 15:16 14
9 Dorking Wanderers 9 3 4 2 18:13 13
10 Torquay 9 3 4 2 13:11 13
11 Farnham 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
12 Folkestone 8 3 3 2 15:9 12
13 Chesham 9 3 1 5 16:15 10
14 Chelmsford 8 1 7 0 9:8 10
15 Horsham FC 8 2 4 2 9:10 10
16 Hemel Hempstead 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
17 Maidenhead 9 2 4 3 8:11 10
18 Braintree 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
19 AFC Totton 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
20 Farnborough 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
21 Hampton & Richmond 9 2 2 5 11:23 8
22 Ebbsfleet 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
23 Slough Town 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
24 Walton & Hersham 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)