Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maidstone vs Weston-super-Mare

England England

National League South Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Charles K.

AI Match Summary

Maidstone in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maidstone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Maidstone
20%
Draws
51%
Weston-super-Mare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Weston-super-Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maidstone lately — more wins on the board than Weston-super-Mare.
  • Model gives Maidstone a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 68%
Weston-super-Mare Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maidstone Weston-super-Mare
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 21 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.33 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National League South
Maidstone vs Weston-super-Mare
1:0
Mar 3, 2026 National League South
Maidstone vs Weston-super-Mare
2:1
Sep 2, 2025 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Maidstone
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Maidstone
3:0
Aug 26, 2024 National League South
Maidstone vs Weston-super-Mare
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maidstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Charles K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Weston-super-Mare Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maidstone 77 / 100
Weston-super-Mare 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maidstone Weston-super-Mare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maidstone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maidstone scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Weston-super-Mare has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Maidstone remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maidstone VS Weston-super-Mare
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maidstone

(Home)
26 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 2
Truro
22 Sept
Maidstone
0 : 2
Cray Wanderers
19 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 1
Maidstone
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Maidstone
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Maidstone
Page 1 of 6

Weston-super-Mare

(Away)
26 Sept
Farnham
3 : 2
Weston-super-Mare
22 Sept
Wimborne
2 : 1
Weston-super-Mare
19 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1
Wimborne
12 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 0
Dagenham & Red.
08 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 1
AFC Totton
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
5 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
6 Truro 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
7 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
8 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
9 Farnham 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Folkestone 9 3 3 3 15:11 12
15 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
16 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
17 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
18 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
19 Braintree 9 3 1 5 16:22 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Ebbsfleet 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Slough Town 9 1 0 8 9:23 3
24 Walton & Hersham 9 0 2 7 6:26 2
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)