Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mailantarki Care vs Abubakar Bukola Saraki

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mailantarki Care play Abubakar Bukola Saraki in the NNL 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mailantarki Care averaged 1 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Abubakar Bukola Saraki averaged 0.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Mailantarki Care won 1, Abubakar Bukola Saraki won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 10, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.33 for Mailantarki Care and 0.60 for Abubakar Bukola Saraki. This points to a Abubakar Bukola Saraki double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Mailantarki Care
17%
Draws
13%
Abubakar Bukola Saraki
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mailantarki Care

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Abubakar Bukola Saraki has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mailantarki Care.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Mailantarki Care.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NNL 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Mailantarki Care Clean Sheet 20%
Abubakar Bukola Saraki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mailantarki Care Abubakar Bukola Saraki
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2023 NNL
Mailantarki Care vs Abubakar Bukola Saraki
2:0
Mar 23, 2023 NNL
Abubakar Bukola Saraki vs Mailantarki Care
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mailantarki Care 67 / 100
Abubakar Bukola Saraki 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mailantarki Care Abubakar Bukola Saraki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mailantarki Care scored in 63% of their last 24 games.

Abubakar Bukola Saraki let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Mailantarki Care went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Abubakar Bukola Saraki lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mailantarki Care VS Abubakar Bukola Saraki
1 Goals Scored 0.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.67
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EFCC FC1061312:719
2Mighty Jets106047:718
3Hypebuzz1042413:814
4Mailantarki Care104248:614
5Abubakar Bukola Saraki104067:1112
6Kogi United102355:139
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Katsina Utd1063114:621
2City FC Abuja105147:1016
3Jigawa Golden Stars1043311:815
4Nigeria Airforce FC102537:811
5FWC Champions102448:1010
6Green Beret101459:147
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1One Rocket1062217:1020
2Warri Wolves1053210:818
3Rovers FC104428:716
4Vandrezzer1033410:1012
5Henserd1031613:1510
6Go Round101364:126
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Lagos1053216:918
2Ijebu1053215:1118
3Crown FC104339:815
4Gateway United103255:811
5Smart City104157:1310
6Joy Cometh102269:158
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kano Pillars861114:319
2Kebbi842212:914
3Malumfashi841312:813
4Sokoto United82248:118
5Zamfara United80262:172
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1DMD63213:111
2Yobe Stars63121:27
3Adamawa Utd62133:57
4Police Machine61232:45
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Abeokuta852116:717
2Ekiti United851212:916
3Madiba842216:714
4Ikorodu United82068:146
5Ebedei81165:204
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Heartland FC1064010:422
2Giant Brillars1043310:815
3Cynosure1042414:814
4Abia Comets103436:513
5Edel FC103257:1311
6Ibom Youths101366:156