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Mainz II vs Astoria Walldorf

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Mainz II
39%
Draws
31%
Astoria Walldorf
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Mainz II have won more games recently than Astoria Walldorf.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 16%
Astoria Walldorf Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz II Astoria Walldorf
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Mainz II vs Astoria Walldorf
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Astoria Walldorf vs Mainz II
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Astoria Walldorf
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Astoria Walldorf
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Astoria Walldorf vs Mainz II
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz II 30 / 100
Astoria Walldorf 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz II Astoria Walldorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astoria Walldorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Mainz II's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Mainz II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mainz II VS Astoria Walldorf
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%