Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mainz II vs Bahlinger

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Videira J.
47' Event
Schroder L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Mainz II
20%
Draws
58%
Bahlinger
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bahlinger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mainz II lately — more wins on the board than Bahlinger.
  • Win probability leans Bahlinger's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 12%
Bahlinger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz II Bahlinger
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Bahlinger
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Bahlinger vs Mainz II
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Bahlinger vs Mainz II
4:3
Oct 20, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Bahlinger
3:1
Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Mainz II vs Bahlinger
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mainz II Compare

Top Goalscorer Videira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bahlinger Compare

Top Goalscorer Schroder L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz II 19 / 100
Bahlinger 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz II Bahlinger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahlinger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bahlinger conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Mainz II's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Mainz II has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mainz II VS Bahlinger
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz II

(Home)
19 Sept
Mainz II
0 : 1
Kaiserslautern II
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
09 Sept
Mainz II
1 : 2
VfR Mannheim
05 Sept
Stutt. Kickers
1 : 2
Mainz II
30 Aug
Mainz II
1 : 3
Aalen
Page 1 of 6

Bahlinger

(Away)
19 Sept
Reutlingen
1 : 1
Bahlinger
12 Sept
Bahlinger
3 : 3
FC 08 Villingen
09 Sept
FC Nottingen
0 : 1
Bahlinger
05 Sept
Bahlinger
2 : 1
Teningen
30 Aug
1. FC Muhlhausen
5 : 2
Bahlinger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 20 8 6 86:43 68
2 Freiberg 34 18 8 8 68:38 62
3 FSV Frankfurt 34 16 9 9 64:48 57
4 FC 08 Homburg 34 15 11 8 71:42 56
5 TSV Steinbach Haiger 34 16 8 10 78:58 56
6 Kassel 34 15 9 10 62:51 54
7 Stutt. Kickers 34 17 3 14 51:44 54
8 Sandhausen 34 16 6 12 53:56 54
9 Mainz II 34 14 11 9 52:45 53
10 Fulda-Lehnerz 34 13 10 11 51:44 49
11 Freiburg II 34 14 6 14 74:73 48
12 Astoria Walldorf 34 13 8 13 64:65 47
13 Eintracht Trier 34 13 8 13 48:52 47
14 Kickers Offenbach 34 11 10 13 57:58 43
15 Alzenau 34 7 6 21 45:74 27
16 Schott Mainz 34 7 4 23 40:83 25
17 Balingen 34 6 7 21 38:87 25
18 Bahlinger 34 4 10 20 34:75 22
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)