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Mainz II vs Kaiserslautern II Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Elouarti N.
53'
Pressler M.
53'
Pressler M.

AI Match Summary

Kaiserslautern II in this Regionalliga Sudwest matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaiserslautern II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Mainz II
15%
Draws
59%
Kaiserslautern II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaiserslautern II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kaiserslautern II lately — more wins on the board than Mainz II.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 16%
Kaiserslautern II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz II Kaiserslautern II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.28 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Kaiserslautern II
0:1
Feb 6, 2019 Club Friendly
Mainz II vs Kaiserslautern II
2:0
Jul 7, 2017 Club Friendly
Kaiserslautern II vs Mainz II
0:1
Aug 2, 2016 Club Friendly
Mainz II vs Kaiserslautern II
0:1
May 4, 2014 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Kaiserslautern II
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mainz II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kaiserslautern II Compare

Top Goalscorer Elouarti N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz II 31 / 100
Kaiserslautern II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz II Kaiserslautern II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mainz II scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Kaiserslautern II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Mainz II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mainz II VS Kaiserslautern II
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz II

(Home)
03 Oct
Mainz II
0 : 2
Freiburg II
26 Sept
Kassel
1 : 2
Mainz II
19 Sept
Mainz II
0 : 1
Kaiserslautern II
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
09 Sept
Mainz II
1 : 2
VfR Mannheim
Page 1 of 6

Kaiserslautern II

(Away)
02 Oct
Sandhausen
1 : 1
Kaiserslautern II
19 Sept
Mainz II
0 : 1
Kaiserslautern II
12 Sept
Kaiserslautern II
0 : 3
Eintracht Trier
09 Sept
FC 08 Homburg
2 : 1
Kaiserslautern II
06 Sept
Kaiserslautern II
1 : 0
Fulda-Lehnerz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Freiberg 10 5 5 0 26:11 20
2 Stutt. Kickers 10 6 2 2 19:13 20
3 Kickers Offenbach 10 6 1 3 20:13 19
4 Aalen 10 5 3 2 18:11 18
5 Freiburg II 9 4 4 1 18:11 16
6 Eintracht Trier 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
7 FC 08 Homburg 10 4 3 3 13:13 15
8 VfR Mannheim 9 3 5 1 14:9 14
9 TSV Steinbach Haiger 10 3 4 3 15:15 13
10 Sandhausen 10 3 4 3 16:20 13
11 FSV Frankfurt 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
12 Kassel 10 3 2 5 17:19 11
13 Eintracht Frankfurt II 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
14 Astoria Walldorf 10 2 3 5 15:18 9
15 Mainz II 10 3 0 7 10:21 9
16 Kaiserslautern II 9 2 3 4 7:18 9
17 Fulda-Lehnerz 10 1 3 6 14:22 6
18 Ulm 10 0 5 5 13:21 5
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)