Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mainz II vs Progres Niedercorn

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event

AI Match Summary

Mainz II in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mainz II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Mainz II
15%
Draws
65%
Progres Niedercorn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progres Niedercorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mainz II lately — more wins on the board than Progres Niedercorn.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Progres Niedercorn taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mainz II here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 10%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz II Progres Niedercorn
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Mainz II vs Progres Niedercorn
1:0
Aug 8, 2020 Club Friendly
Mainz II vs Progres Niedercorn
0:3
Feb 8, 2020 Club Friendly
Progres Niedercorn vs Mainz II
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz II 10 / 100
Progres Niedercorn 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz II Progres Niedercorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mainz II scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Progres Niedercorn let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Mainz II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mainz II VS Progres Niedercorn
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz II

(Home)
19 Sept
Mainz II
0 : 1
Kaiserslautern II
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
09 Sept
Mainz II
1 : 2
VfR Mannheim
05 Sept
Stutt. Kickers
1 : 2
Mainz II
30 Aug
Mainz II
1 : 3
Aalen
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Progres Niedercorn

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 7
Progres Niedercorn
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0
Racing Luxembourg
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0
Rumelange
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
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