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Stadium Background

Mainz II vs Progres Niedercorn

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event

AI Match Summary

Mainz II in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mainz II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mainz II
6%
Draws
4%
Progres Niedercorn
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mainz II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mainz II lately — more wins on the board than Progres Niedercorn.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Mainz II taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mainz II here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 20%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz II Progres Niedercorn
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Mainz II vs Progres Niedercorn
1:0
Aug 8, 2020 Club Friendly
Mainz II vs Progres Niedercorn
0:3
Feb 8, 2020 Club Friendly
Progres Niedercorn vs Mainz II
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz II 85 / 100
Progres Niedercorn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz II Progres Niedercorn

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progres Niedercorn has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Progres Niedercorn lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mainz II scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mainz II VS Progres Niedercorn
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%