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Mainz II vs Sandhausen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Christiansen M.
54' Event
Cherny N.
74' Event
Moreno Fell F.

AI Match Summary

Mainz II in this Regionalliga Sudwest matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mainz II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mainz II
30%
Draws
41%
Sandhausen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sandhausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sandhausen have won more games recently than Mainz II.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 11%
Sandhausen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz II Sandhausen
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.26 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Sandhausen
2:1
Apr 21, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Sandhausen
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Sandhausen vs Mainz II
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mainz II Compare

Top Goalscorer Cherny N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno Fell F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sandhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Christiansen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz II 30 / 100
Sandhausen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz II Sandhausen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sandhausen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sandhausen has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Mainz II scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Mainz II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mainz II VS Sandhausen
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz II

(Home)
30 Oct
Mainz II
2 : 1
Sandhausen
24 Oct
Fulda-Lehnerz
3 : 1
Mainz II
17 Oct
Mainz II
1 : 1
Ulm
10 Oct
Astoria Walldorf
1 : 1
Mainz II
03 Oct
Mainz II
0 : 2
Freiburg II
Page 1 of 6

Sandhausen

(Away)
30 Oct
Mainz II
2 : 1
Sandhausen
24 Oct
Sandhausen
0 : 1
Aalen
16 Oct
Sandhausen
1 : 0
Kickers Offenbach
10 Oct
FSV Frankfurt
1 : 3
Sandhausen
02 Oct
Sandhausen
1 : 1
Kaiserslautern II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalen 14 9 3 2 24:11 30
2 VfR Mannheim 14 8 5 1 25:11 29
3 Freiberg 14 7 7 0 32:13 28
4 Kickers Offenbach 14 7 3 4 27:19 24
5 Stutt. Kickers 14 7 2 5 22:19 23
6 Eintracht Trier 14 7 2 5 16:17 23
7 Freiburg II 14 5 6 3 25:19 21
8 FC 08 Homburg 14 5 6 3 18:17 21
9 Sandhausen 14 5 4 5 21:24 19
10 TSV Steinbach Haiger 14 4 5 5 22:22 17
11 Eintracht Frankfurt II 14 5 1 8 18:22 16
12 Astoria Walldorf 14 3 5 6 20:22 14
13 FSV Frankfurt 14 3 5 6 22:25 14
14 Kassel 14 4 2 8 21:29 14
15 Mainz II 14 4 2 8 15:27 14
16 Fulda-Lehnerz 14 3 3 8 18:28 12
17 Ulm 14 1 8 5 17:24 11
18 Kaiserslautern II 14 2 5 7 16:30 11
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)