Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mainz II vs VfR Mannheim

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Esswein A.
47' Event
Gitau Andre
84' Event
Pander P.

AI Match Summary

VfR Mannheim in this Regionalliga Sudwest matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored VfR Mannheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Mainz II
35%
Draws
45%
VfR Mannheim
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: VfR Mannheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • VfR Mannheim average 1.96 goals a game right now, well clear of Mainz II's 1.3.
  • Model gives VfR Mannheim a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 20%
VfR Mannheim Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz II VfR Mannheim
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.3 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs VfR Mannheim
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mainz II Compare

Top Goalscorer Gitau Andre
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

VfR Mannheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Esswein A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pander P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz II 10 / 100
VfR Mannheim 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz II VfR Mannheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfR Mannheim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mainz II's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

VfR Mannheim has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Mainz II has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mainz II VS VfR Mannheim
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz II

(Home)
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
09 Sept
Mainz II
1 : 2
VfR Mannheim
05 Sept
Stutt. Kickers
1 : 2
Mainz II
30 Aug
Mainz II
1 : 3
Aalen
22 Aug
Kickers Offenbach
3 : 1
Mainz II
Page 1 of 6

VfR Mannheim

(Away)
13 Sept
VfR Mannheim
0 : 0
Aalen
09 Sept
Mainz II
1 : 2
VfR Mannheim
06 Sept
VfR Mannheim
1 : 1
FC 08 Homburg
30 Aug
Freiburg II
0 : 0
VfR Mannheim
22 Aug
VfR Mannheim
0 : 0
Freiberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kickers Offenbach 8 6 1 1 19:8 19
2 Freiberg 8 5 3 0 22:7 18
3 Stutt. Kickers 8 5 1 2 15:11 16
4 FC 08 Homburg 8 4 2 2 12:11 14
5 Freiburg II 8 3 4 1 16:11 13
6 Eintracht Trier 8 4 1 3 9:7 13
7 FSV Frankfurt 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
8 Aalen 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
9 VfR Mannheim 8 2 5 1 9:8 11
10 Kassel 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
11 Eintracht Frankfurt II 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
12 TSV Steinbach Haiger 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
13 Sandhausen 8 2 3 3 13:18 9
14 Kaiserslautern II 8 2 2 4 6:17 8
15 Astoria Walldorf 8 1 3 4 10:15 6
16 Mainz II 8 2 0 6 8:18 6
17 Fulda-Lehnerz 8 1 2 5 12:16 5
18 Ulm 8 0 4 4 11:18 4
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)