Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mainz II vs VfR Mannheim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Esswein A.
47' Event
Gitau Andre
84' Event
Pander P.

AI Match Summary

VfR Mannheim in this Regionalliga Sudwest matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored VfR Mannheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Mainz II
20%
Draws
60%
VfR Mannheim
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VfR Mannheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • VfR Mannheim have won more games recently than Mainz II.
  • Model gives VfR Mannheim a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 10%
VfR Mannheim Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz II VfR Mannheim
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.26 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs VfR Mannheim
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mainz II Compare

Top Goalscorer Gitau Andre
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

VfR Mannheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Esswein A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pander P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz II 10 / 100
VfR Mannheim 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz II VfR Mannheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfR Mannheim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mainz II's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

VfR Mannheim has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Mainz II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mainz II VS VfR Mannheim
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz II

(Home)
30 Oct
Mainz II
2 : 1
Sandhausen
24 Oct
Fulda-Lehnerz
3 : 1
Mainz II
17 Oct
Mainz II
1 : 1
Ulm
10 Oct
Astoria Walldorf
1 : 1
Mainz II
03 Oct
Mainz II
0 : 2
Freiburg II
Page 1 of 6

VfR Mannheim

(Away)
31 Oct
VfR Mannheim
3 : 2
Kaiserslautern II
24 Oct
TSV Steinbach Haiger
0 : 2
VfR Mannheim
17 Oct
Kassel
0 : 3
VfR Mannheim
14 Oct
Eintracht Frankfurt II
0 : 1
VfR Mannheim
10 Oct
VfR Mannheim
2 : 0
Stutt. Kickers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalen 14 9 3 2 24:11 30
2 VfR Mannheim 14 8 5 1 25:11 29
3 Freiberg 14 7 7 0 32:13 28
4 Kickers Offenbach 14 7 3 4 27:19 24
5 Stutt. Kickers 14 7 2 5 22:19 23
6 Eintracht Trier 14 7 2 5 16:17 23
7 Freiburg II 14 5 6 3 25:19 21
8 FC 08 Homburg 14 5 6 3 18:17 21
9 Sandhausen 14 5 4 5 21:24 19
10 TSV Steinbach Haiger 14 4 5 5 22:22 17
11 Eintracht Frankfurt II 14 5 1 8 18:22 16
12 Astoria Walldorf 14 3 5 6 20:22 14
13 FSV Frankfurt 14 3 5 6 22:25 14
14 Kassel 14 4 2 8 21:29 14
15 Mainz II 14 4 2 8 15:27 14
16 Fulda-Lehnerz 14 3 3 8 18:28 12
17 Ulm 14 1 8 5 17:24 11
18 Kaiserslautern II 14 2 5 7 16:30 11
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)